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Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19: A Tale of Two Models
2020-07-27
health policy
Title + abstract only
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In this paper, we compare the inference regarding the effectiveness of the various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for COVID-19 obtained from three SIR models, all developed by the Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team. One model was applied to European countries and published in Nature1 (model 1), concluding that complete lockdown was by far the most effective measure, responsible for 80% of the reduction in Rt, and 3 million deaths were avoided in the examined countries. The Imperial...
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