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Numerical Analysis of Disastrous Effect of Reopening Too Soon in Georgia, USA

Basu, S.

2020-07-03 infectious diseases
10.1101/2020.07.01.20144667 medRxiv
Show abstract

Social distancing restrictions were lifted in Georgia, USA before the daily new Covid-19 cases were significantly reduced below the peak. In this paper we show through numerical analysis the disastrous consequence of this action resulting in a second peak of daily cases which caused additional fatalities.

Matching journals

The top 8 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
PLOS ONE
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10.1%
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2.7%
50% of probability mass above
9
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● 23 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
2.7%
10
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11
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12
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13
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1.7%
14
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1.7%
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Top 2%
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17
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Top 0.1%
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18
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Top 0.6%
1.4%
19
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Top 0.9%
1.2%
20
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Top 0.1%
1.2%
21
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Top 18%
1.1%
22
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Top 4%
1.0%
23
Nature Communications
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24
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Top 1%
0.9%
25
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Top 3%
0.9%
26
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○ 15 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
0.9%
27
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● 49 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
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28
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Top 9%
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"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.