Back

Superspreading in Early Transmissions of COVID-19 in Indonesia

2020-06-29 epidemiology Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
Show abstract

We estimate the basic reproduction number[R] 0 and the overdispersion parameter[K] at two regions in Indonesia: Jakarta-Depok and Batam. Based on the first 1288 confirmed cases in both regions, we find a high degree of individual-level variation in the transmission. The basic reproduction number[R] 0 is estimated at 6.79 and 2.47, while the overdispersion parameter[K] of a negative-binomial distribution is estimated at 0.06 and 0.2 for Jakarta-Depok and Batam, respectively. This suggests that su...

Predicted journal destinations

1
Scientific Reports
701 training papers
Top 3% 21.4%
2
PLOS ONE
1737 training papers
Top 48% 14.1%
3
Epidemics
96 training papers
Top 4% 4.0%
4
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals
17 training papers
Top 0.3% 3.7%
5
PLOS Computational Biology
141 training papers
Top 5% 3.7%
6
Infectious Disease Modelling
50 training papers
Top 2% 3.7%
7
Mathematical Biosciences
15 training papers
#1 3.0%
8
Nature Communications
483 training papers
Top 32% 2.9%
9
Epidemiology and Infection
80 training papers
Top 5% 1.9%
10
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
166 training papers
Top 10% 1.9%
11
Frontiers in Public Health
135 training papers
Top 17% 1.9%
12
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
100 training papers
Top 6% 1.9%
13
BMC Public Health
148 training papers
Top 17% 1.9%
14
eLife
262 training papers
Top 24% 1.9%
15
Journal of The Royal Society Interface
54 training papers
Top 2% 1.9%
16
Journal of Theoretical Biology
29 training papers
Top 2% 1.5%
17
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
115 training papers
Top 13% 1.5%
18
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
116 training papers
Top 18% 1.5%
19
Science
46 training papers
Top 3% 1.3%
20
Royal Society Open Science
49 training papers
Top 4% 1.3%
21
Heliyon
57 training papers
Top 7% 1.1%
22
BMC Infectious Diseases
110 training papers
Top 22% 0.9%
23
BMC Medicine
155 training papers
Top 29% 0.9%
24
Emerging Infectious Diseases
84 training papers
Top 14% 0.9%
25
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
17 training papers
Top 1% 0.7%
26
Eurosurveillance
77 training papers
Top 15% 0.7%
27
PeerJ
46 training papers
Top 9% 0.7%
28
International Journal of Epidemiology
65 training papers
Top 13% 0.7%
29
Viruses
79 training papers
Top 11% 0.7%