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Estimation of protection for COVID-19 in children from epidemiological information and estimate effect of policy in Japan

2020-03-30 public and global health Title + abstract only
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BackgroundIncidence in children was much less than in adults during the COVID-19 outbreak. Sports and entertainment events were canceled (VEC) in Japan for two weeks during 26 February - 13 March. Most schools were closed (SC). ObjectWe construct a susceptible-infected-recovered model using three age classes and estimate the basic reproduction number (R0) and protection level among children simultaneously. Then we simulate SC and VEC effects. MethodWe used data of patients with symptoms in Jap...

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