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Estimation of the final size of the second phase of the coronavirus epidemic by the logistic model

batista, m.

2020-03-16 epidemiology
10.1101/2020.03.11.20024901 medRxiv
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In the note, the logistic growth regression model is used for the estimation of the final size and its peak time of the coronavirus epidemic in China, South Korea, and the rest of the World.

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The top 7 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

50% of probability mass above

"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.