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Ascertainment rate of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Japan
2020-03-10
infectious diseases
Title + abstract only
View on medRxiv
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ObjectiveTo estimate the ascertainment rate of novel coronavirus (COVID-19). MethodsWe analyzed the epidemiological dataset of confirmed cases with COVID-19 in Japan as of 28 February 2020. A statistical model was constructed to describe the heterogeneity of reporting rate by age and severity. We estimated the number of severe and non-severe cases, accounting for under-ascertainment. ResultsThe ascertainment rate of non-severe cases was estimated at 0.44 (95% confidence interval: 0.37, 0.50), ...
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