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Microbiome

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Microbiome's content profile, based on 139 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.13% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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VAE (Variational Autoencoder) Based Gastrotype Identification and Predictive Diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori Infection

Ma, Z.; Qiao, Y.

2026-04-13 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350690 medRxiv
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Background: The enterotype concept proposed that gut microbiomes cluster into discrete types, but subsequent critiques demonstrated that such clustering depends on methodological choices, that the number of clusters is not fixed, and that faecal samples cannot capture spatial heterogeneity along the gastrointestinal tract. The stomach remains particularly understudied, and no systematic classification exists for gastric microbial community types. Methods: We assembled a multi-cohort dataset of 566 gastric mucosal samples spanning healthy controls to gastric cancer, with both Helicobacter pylori (HP)-negative and HP-positive individuals. Critically, we applied the key methodological lessons of the enterotype debate: we used a variational autoencoder (VAE) for dimensionality reduction to learn a continuous latent representation without forcing discrete structure, determined the optimal number of clusters using the Silhouette index (an absolute validation measure) across K=2 to K=10 rather than arbitrarily selecting a cluster number, and performed transparent evaluation of multiple clustering solutions. This VAE-plus-silhouette workflow directly addresses the critiques leveled against the original enterotype analysis. Results: Four gastotypes were identified, with K=4 achieving the highest mean silhouette score, indicating good cluster cohesion and separation. Two gastotypes (Variovorax-type and Trabulsiella-type) were significantly enriched in HP-positive samples, while two gastotypes (Bacteroides-type and Streptococcus-type) were significantly enriched in HP-negative samples. Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieved excellent baseline performance for predicting HP infection (AUC = 0.990 and 0.993). Conclusions: The VAE-plus-silhouette workflow provides a robust, data-driven approach for identifying gastotypes without forcing discrete structure or arbitrarily fixing cluster numbers. Using this framework, we identified four gastotypes with significantly different HP infection rates. Variovorax-type and Trabulsiella-type showed strong HP-positive enrichment, while Bacteroides-type and Streptococcus-type showed strong HP-negative enrichment. These findings demonstrate that methodological advances from the enterotype controversy can be successfully transferred to the stomach, offering a reproducible taxonomy for stratifying HP infection status with potential clinical utility.

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Uncovering the mechanisms of clinically-relevant altered antibiotic responses of Staphylococcus aureus under wound infection-mimetic conditions

Rieger, C. D.; Molaeitabari, A.; Dahms, T. E. S.; El-Halfawy, O. M.

2026-04-17 microbiology 10.64898/2025.12.22.696073 medRxiv
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Standard in vitro antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) using Mueller-Hinton broth (MHB) does not reflect infection-site conditions, and its results often do not correlate with therapeutic outcomes. Here, we compared the antibiotic susceptibility of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), a common chronic wound pathogen, in simulated wound fluid (SWF) resembling wound exudate versus MHB, revealing discordant AST results across six of nine tested antibiotic classes. The most significant were 128-fold increased resistance to tetracyclines and 256-fold sensitization to {beta}-lactams in SWF. Tetracycline resistance was mediated by MntC, an extracellular manganese-binding protein, whereas {beta}-lactam sensitization was driven by cell envelope remodelling in SWF. Galleria mellonella wound infection results matched the SWF susceptibility phenotypes, suggesting SWF better predicts in vivo wound infection therapeutic outcomes. These comprehensive phenotypic and mechanistic insights into MRSA antibiotic responses under wound-infection-mimetic conditions with direct in vivo validation identify a potential new antibiotic adjuvant target and may guide improved antibiotic therapy for MRSA wound infections.

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One Health genomics of Acinetobacter baumannii reveals sector-specific lineages and permeable ecological barriers

Plantade, J.; Escobar, C.; Godeux, A.-S.; Poire, L.; Andre, A.; Deromelaere, V.; Cassier, P.; Rasigade, J.-P.; Nazaret, S.; Coluzzi, C.; Venner, S.; Laaberki, M.-H.; Charpentier, X.

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350516 medRxiv
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Acinetobacter baumannii is a major cause of severe hospital-acquired infections, with a steadily increasing global prevalence driven by a few clinically adapted lineages. Animals and natural environments also harbor A. baumannii populations, but assessing their connections to clinical lineages is limited by sparse genomic data and a lack of integrated sampling. We conducted a local One Health genomic epidemiology study, sampling, isolating, sequencing, and characterizing several hundred A. baumannii isolates from clinical, animal, and environmental contexts. Within a geographically restricted area, we recovered several globally distributed clinical lineages (international clones, ICs), as well as livestock- and environment-associated lineages shared across Europe, highlighting widespread dissemination beyond clinical settings. Isolates closely related to the emerging clinical lineage IC11 were found in livestock, but no other clinically associated lineages were detected outside clinical contexts. Among these, the epidemic superlineage IC2 was identified in both human and veterinary clinical settings, indicating that similar practices in human and animal medicine select for closely related opportunistic pathogens. We found that hospitals host distinct, antibiotic-sensitive endemic populations capable of causing infection. These populations belong to a diversifying clade spanning clinical and environmental contexts and carry a high load of insertion sequences. Strong plasmid conservation further suggests frequent horizontal gene transfer across ecological compartments. Overall, A. baumannii comprises diverse, context-adapted lineages with a high potential for global spread. Although intercontext transmission appears limited, plasmids may overcome these ecological barriers. Our findings underscore the need for integrated One Health surveillance to better understand transmission pathways and limit the emergence of clinically adapted strains.

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Distinct Metabolic Signatures Distinguish Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer

Tsiara, I.; Vouzaxaki, E.; Ekström, J.; Rameika, N.; Yang, F.; Jain, A.; Iglesias Alonso, A.; Sjöblom, T.; Globisch, D.

2026-04-13 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350309 medRxiv
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Cancer-related casualties are the most common cause of death worldwide. The discovery of biomarkers is of utmost importance for diagnosis and disease monitoring. Herein, we performed a comprehensive metabolomics biomarker discovery effort in plasma from 615 lung, ovarian and colorectal cancer patients at diagnosis and 95 non-cancerous control subjects. This pan-cancer investigation identified specific panels of metabolites in the entire sample cohort with a high discriminating power and demonstrated by combined ROC AUC values of up to 0.95. The identified metabolites are mainly associated with lipid and amino acid metabolism as well as xenobiotic transformation. These metabolite panels of high predictive power provide new metabolic insights in these cancers and demonstrate the potential of metabolomics for improved diagnosis and monitoring disease progression.

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Decoding resistance: interpretable machine learning to predict ciprofloxacin resistance in Shigella spp

Gohari, M. R.; Zhang, P.; Villegas, A.; Rosella, L. C.; Patel, S. N.; Hopkins, J. P.; Duvvuri, V. R.

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350353 medRxiv
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Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a growing global public health threat that complicates the treatment and control of bacterial infections. Shigella spp., a leading cause of bacterial diarrhea worldwide, has increasingly exhibited resistance to multiple antimicrobial agents that are commonly recommended therapy for severe shigellosis. Although conventional antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) remains the reference standard, it is time-consuming and provides limited insight into the genetic mechanisms underlying resistance. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has emerged as a complementary approach for AMR detection by enabling direct identification of resistance genetic determinants encoded in bacterial genomes. Machine learning (ML) methods applied to genomic features such as k-mers have shown promise for predicting resistance phenotypes from WGS data; however, applications to Shigella remain limited. In this study, we developed and evaluated an interpretable ML framework for predicting ciprofloxacin resistance using k-mer features derived from WGS data of 1,424 Shigella isolates collected in Ontario, Canada, between 2018 and 2025. K-mers were extracted from known gene targets associated with ciprofloxacin resistance, including chromosomal quinoline resistance-determining regions (QRDRs: gyrA and parC) and plasmid-mediated determinants (qnr). Supervised ML approaches were trained and compared. We evaluated the influence of k-mer lengths (k=11, 15, 21 and 31) on predictive performance and model interpretability; and compared models based on chromosomal determinants alone and models incorporating both chromosomal and plasmid-mediated determinants. Randon Forest classifier achieved the most consistent performance across models. Inclusion of plasmid-mediated determinants improved predictive accuracy relative to chromosomal-only models. Although differences across k-mer lengths were modest, k = 11 produced the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the lowest Brier score. SHAP analyses localized high-impact features within QRDRs of gyrA and parC, supporting biological interpretability. These findings demonstrate that biologically-informed k-mer-based ML models can accurately and transparently predict ciprofloxacin resistance in Shigella, supporting their potential integration into genomic AMR surveillance and digital public health frameworks. Author summaryIn this study, we used genome sequencing data to develop machine learning models that predict ciprofloxacin resistance for Shigella directly from bacterial DNA. We focused on small DNA fragments (k-mers) derived from known resistance genes and mutations. Among the approaches tested, a Random Forest model showed the most consistent performance. Combining chromosomal mutations with plasmid-mediated resistance genes improved prediction accuracy and helped identify key genetic regions associated with resistance. These findings demonstrate that machine learning applied to genomic data can accurately and interpretable predict antibiotic resistance, supporting its potential use in genomic surveillance and public health monitoring.

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Identification, evolutionary history and characteristics of orphan genes in root-knot nematodes

Seckin, E.; Colinet, D.; Bailly-Bechet, M.; Seassau, A.; Bottini, S.; Sarti, E.; Danchin, E. G.

2026-04-11 bioinformatics 10.64898/2025.12.19.695360 medRxiv
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Orphan genes, lacking homologs in other species, are systematically found across genomes. Their presence may result from extensive divergence from pre-existing genes or from de novo gene birth, which occurs when a gene emerges from a previously non-genic region. In this study, we identified orphan genes in the genomes of globally distributed plant-parasitic nematodes of the genus Meloidogyne and investigated their origins, evolution, and characteristics. Using a comparative genomics framework across 85 nematode species, we found that 18% of Meloidogyne genes are genus-specific, transcriptionally supported orphans. By combining ancestral sequence reconstruction and synteny-based approaches, we inferred that 20% of these orphan genes originated through high divergence, while 18% likely emerged de novo. Proteomic and translatomic evidence confirmed the translation of a subset of these genes, and feature analyses revealed distinctive molecular signatures, including shorter length, signal peptide enrichment, and a tendency for extracellular localization. These findings highlight orphan genes as a substantial and previously underexplored component of the Meloidogyne genome, with potential roles in their worldwide parasitism.

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A Multi-Cohort Study of Immunoglobulin G Glycans in Newly Diagnosed Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients Reveals Accelerated Biological Aging

Flevaris, K.; Trbojevic-Akmacic, I.; Goh, D.; Lalli, J. S.; Vuckovic, F.; Capin Vilaj, M.; Stambuk, J.; Kristic, J.; Mijakovac, A.; Ventham, N.; Kalla, R.; Latiano, A.; Manetti, N.; Li, D.; McGovern, D. P. B.; Kennedy, N. A.; Annese, V.; Lauc, G.; Satsangi, J.; Kontoravdi, C.

2026-04-11 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26349930 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Alterations in immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation are implicated in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the robustness of IgG glycan signatures across IBD cohorts with diverse demographics and geographic origins remains underexplored. We aimed to determine whether compositional data analysis (CoDA) and machine learning (ML) can identify IBD-related IgG N-glycan signatures and whether these signatures capture disease-associated acceleration of biological aging. Methods: We analyzed the IgG glycome profiles of 1,367 plasma samples collected from healthy controls (HC), symptomatic controls (SC), and people with newly diagnosed Crohn's (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) across four cohorts (UK, Italy, United States, and Netherlands). IgG glycosylation was analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography, yielding 24 total-area-normalized glycan peaks (GPs). Analyses were performed using cross-sectional data obtained at baseline. CoDA-powered association analyses were used to identify disease-related effects on GPs while controlling for demographic covariates. ML models were trained and evaluated to assess generalizability to unseen cohorts and demographic subgroups, with a focus on discrimination and reliability. Results: Across all cohorts, people with IBD demonstrated accelerated biological aging as quantified by the GlycanAge index. This was accompanied by consistent reductions in IgG galactosylation, with effects partially modulated by age. Classification models trained on glycomics and demographics achieved robust discrimination (AUROC~0.80) between non-IBD (HC+SC) and IBD across cohorts. Conclusion: These findings reveal accelerated biological aging in people with IBD and support the translational potential of IgG glycans as biomarkers and a novel route toward clinically interpretable personalized risk estimates.

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Functional PD-1/PD-L1 engagement defines a spatial biomarker of immunotherapy response

Ullman, T.; Krantz, D.; Avenel, C.; Lung, M.; Svedman, F. C.; Holmsten, K.; Ostling, P.; Ullen, A.; Stadler, C.

2026-04-17 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.15.26350929 medRxiv
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Effective predictive biomarkers for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy remain an unmet need across solid tumors. Here, we present an integrated spatial proteomics workflow that combines in situ proximity ligation assay with multiplexed immunofluorescence to directly resolve PD1/PDL1 signaling events at the level of defined cellular phenotypes and their spatial organization within intact tumor tissue. Applied as a proof of concept to tumor samples from patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab, this approach reveals that PD1/PDL1 interactions specifically involving cytotoxic CD8CD3 T cells are significantly enriched in complete responders, while such interactions are rare in patients with progressive disease. This interaction defined T cell subset achieves superior discrimination of clinical response compared to single marker PDL1 expression or immune cell abundance alone. By integrating direct detection of protein protein interactions with high dimensional single cell phenotyping, our workflow provides a mechanistically informed, spatially resolved biomarker of functional immune engagement. Beyond urothelial carcinoma, this platform establishes a generalizable framework for translating spatial signaling biology into predictive tools for immunotherapy response across tumor types.

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Distinct gene signatures of human intermuscular adipose tissue expansion visualized by spatial transcriptomics in mice

Pathak, E.; Tom, R. Z.; Kim, M.; Sachs, S.; Zhang, Y.; Walter, M.; Pfluger, P. T.; Feuchtinger, A.; Dyar, K. A.; Bergman, B. C.; Pleitez, M. A.; Lutter, D.; Hofmann, S. M.

2026-04-17 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351017 medRxiv
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Intermuscular adipose tissue (IMAT) expansion is closely associated with cardiometabolic disease, yet its cellular organization and regulatory mechanisms remain poorly defined. Here, we define a human IMAT gene signature using bulk transcriptomics and identify candidate regulators for IMAT function including adipogenic transcription factor early B-cell factor 2 (EBF2). To determine how these programs are organized in situ, we mapped this signature in a mouse model of diet-induced CMD using spatial transcriptomics. We found that IMAT expansion occurs within discrete stromal niches surrounding muscle fibers, characterized by coordinated activation of adipogenic, extracellular matrix, inflammatory, and metabolic pathways. Spatial analyses showed that fibro-adipogenic progenitor (FAP) abundance does not predict adipocyte formation, supporting a model of localized and context-dependent lineage transitions. Cross-species comparison revealed partial conservation of human IMAT gene programs, validating the mouse model and highlighting species-specific features. Functional experiments in human primary myoblasts showed that EBF2 is sufficient to induce adipogenic reprogramming. Our findings establish IMAT as an active, spatially organized remodeling niche and identify lineage plasticity as a central mechanism driving its expansion in metabolic disease

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A conserved grain-associated immunosuppressive niche in Sudanese patients with mycetoma.

Osman, M.; Ashwin, H.; Calder, G.; O'Toole, P.; Bakhiet, S. M.; Musa, A. M.; Kaye, P. M.; Fahal, A. H.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350374 medRxiv
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Mycetoma is a neglected tropical disease caused by various bacterial and fungal pathogens that has a significant health impact across a broad geographically defined "mycetoma belt" spanning South America, Africa and Asia. Histologically, mycetoma is characterised by invasive and destructive granuloma development in the skin, deep tissues and bone, leading to tissue destruction, deformities and high morbidity. The presence of macroscopic, highly compacted pathogen microcolonies, or "grains," is a key diagnostic feature, and the formation of grains supports pathogen persistence and disease chronicity. However, there is a paucity of information on immune responses in mycetoma patients and on the relative importance of phylogeny and/or grains in establishing the local immune landscape. Here, we used spatial proteomics to examine the distribution of 43 immune-related proteins in surgical biopsies from 11 patients with mycetoma of bacterial (Actinomycetoma; Actinomadura pelletierii and Streptomyces somaliensis; n=6) and fungal (Eumycetoma; Madurella mycetomatis; n=5) origin. Using mixed-effects modelling, an exploratory analysis across species and pathogen classes revealed few significant differences in immune marker expression. In contrast, and independently of pathogen class, the cellular infiltrate closest to grain boundaries had higher per-cell expression of CD66b+, ARG1, and VISTA. The preferential accumulation of CD66b+ARG1+VISTA+ cells at grain boundaries was confirmed by quantitative immunofluorescence analysis. Hence, the local tissue microenvironment surrounding the mycetoma grain represents a specialised immunosuppressive niche, with parallels to the tumour microenvironment.

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T Cell Clonal Groups are Broadly Dispersed in Colon, Phenotypically Diverse, and Altered in Ulcerative Colitis

Fischer, J.; Spindler, M. P.; Britton, G. J.; Weiler, J.; Tankelevich, M.; Dai, D.; Canales-Herrerias, P.; Jha, D.; Rajpal, U.; Mehandru, S.; Faith, J. J.

2026-04-11 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350469 medRxiv
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Our understanding of human mucosal T cell clonotype distribution in health and disease has centered on immunodominant antigens. We performed single cell T cell receptor (TCR) and RNA sequencing as an untargeted approach to define distributions of T cell clonal groups in health and ulcerative colitis (UC) across 333,088 T cells in colon and peripheral blood. Healthy donor-specific TCR repertoires had limited blood-colon clonal sharing, which was highest in cytotoxic T effector memory (Tem) populations and lowest in regulatory T cells (Tregs), reflecting tissue-based compartmentalization. Within healthy colon, TCR repertoires showed high T cell clonal sharing independent of anatomic distance, associated with high intra-clonal phenotypic diversity. Colon cytotoxic and Th17 populations showed high dispersion across sites, while Tregs were compartmentalized. Clonal lineages dispersed across blood and colon upregulated trafficking markers, suggesting active movement between tissues, while those dispersed across colon sites upregulated residency markers, suggesting intra-colon repertoire sharing is mediated by long-term, slow moving clonal groups. In UC, Tregs were expanded across inflamed sites, and increased CD8 Tem clonal groups showed increased dispersion regardless of inflammation. These findings reveal principles of T cell clonal organization in the human colon during health and disease, identifying opposing patterns of clonal dispersion among Treg and Th17 clonal groups, high phenotypic diversity within dispersed clonal groups, and elevated cross-colon dispersion of CD8 Tem clonotypes in UC.

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Single-molecule cfDNA sequencing establishes clinical utility for ecDNA monitoring and multimodal liquid biopsy analysis

Sauer, C. M.; Tovey, N.; Ptasinska, A.; Hughes, D.; Stockton, J.; Zumalave, S.; Rust, A. G.; Lynn, C.; Livellara, V.; Sevrin, F.; Himsworth, C.; Muyas, F.; Nicolaidou, M.; Parry, G.; Paisana, E.; Cascao, R.; Ahmed, S. W.; Yasin, S. A.; Portela, L. R.; Balasubramanian, P.; Burke, G. A. A.; Vedi, A.; Faria, C. C.; Marshall, L. V.; Jacques, T. S.; Hubank, M.; Hargrave, D.; George, S.; Angelini, P.; Anderson, J.; Chesler, L.; Beggs, A. D.; Cortes-Ciriano, I.

2026-04-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350410 medRxiv
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Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) profiling enables minimally invasive cancer detection and monitoring. We present SIMMA, a low-input single-molecule sequencing approach that enables multimodal whole-genome and high-depth targeted sequencing of the same cfDNA sample for both tumour-agnostic and tumour-informed liquid biopsy analysis. Across 792 plasma and cerebrospinal fluid cfDNA samples from 277 paediatric patients with diverse brain and extracranial tumours, SIMMA enabled tumour diagnosis, detection of driver mutations, and reconstruction of extrachromosomal DNA (ecDNA) months before clinical relapse. Using conformal prediction trained on genome-wide fragmentomics, genomic and epigenomic data, SIMMA predicts disease burden as a continuous variable and provides well-calibrated uncertainty estimates for each sample, achieving a limit of detection of [~]100 ppm from low-pass whole-genome sequencing data. In summary, SIMMA establishes the clinical utility of multimodal cfDNA profiling with uncertainty quantification for individual patients and unlocks the potential of ecDNA as a liquid biopsy biomarker for disease detection and monitoring across diverse aggressive malignancies.

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NMF Deconvolution of a High-ROS Transcriptional Program Uncovers mTOR-Dependent Therapeutic Sensitivity in Stomach Adenocarcinoma

Roy, R.; Patnaik, J.; Chakraborty, A.; Patnaik, S.; Parija, T.

2026-04-16 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350699 medRxiv
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Background: Stomach adenocarcinoma is driven by heterogeneity, limiting therapeutic success. Although ROS acts as a continuous redox rheostat for tumor evolution, it is categorized based on binary models that are masked by tumor-microenvironment (TME) confounders. Here, we have defined a continuous, TME-independent ROS axis to help identify intrinsic vulnerabilities and improve patient stratification. Methods: Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) defined a ROS-Axis in TCGA-STAD which was validated in ACRG Cohort. Multivariate regression model isolated intrinsic signatures via residual ROS scores by adjusting for TME confounders. Survival was assessed using Cox hazard models. Drug sensitivities were mapped using GDSC2/ElasticNet modeling with cross-cohort replication. Results: Our results define a reproducible ROS gradient, driven by effectors like NQO1 and SOD1, characterizing ROS-high tumors as proliferative, epithelial and immune -cold. High residual ROS score was associated with an improved prognosis, regardless of TNM stage and age. Pharmacogenomic mapping revealed an overlapping sensitivity to mTOR inhibitors in ROS-high gastric cancer tumors which persisted after TME confounder adjustment. Conclusion: The continuous ROS axis provides a functional readout of metabolic dependency that refines traditional anatomical staging. By identifying mTOR dependent cold tumors, our framework offers a precision strategy for immunotherapy-resistant patients like those affected by microsatellite-stable gastric cancer.

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The Evolutionary Dynamics and Regional Spread of Mpox in Africa: Insights from Multi-country Genomic Surveillance

Tanui, C. K.; Kinganda-Lusamaki, E.; O'Toole, A.; Chitenje, M.; Campbell, A. K. O.; DIAGNE, M. M.; Kanyerezi, S.; Faye, M.; Ifabumuyi, S. O.; Nzoyikorera, N.; Lango, H. O.; Koukouikila-Koussounda, F.; Meite, S.; Sikazwe, E.; Djuicy, D. D.; Adu, B.; MAMAN, I.; Mapunda, L. A.; Nyan, D. C.; Stephane, S.; Aricha, S. A.; Cherif Gnimadi, T. A.; Maror, J. A.; Pereira, A. M.; Atrah, Y. S.; Akanbi, O. A.; Lokilo, E. L.; Makangara-Cigolo, J.-C.; Paku, P. T.; Luakanda, G. N.; Amuri-Aziza, A.; Wawina-Bokalanga, T.; Mugerwa, I.; Nsawotebba, A.; Ayitewala, A.; Williams, A. J.; Folorunso, V.; Mani, S.; Hardi

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.07.26347884 medRxiv
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The recent MPXV epidemic across Africa revealed extensive viral diversity and complex transmission dynamics, prompting a continent-wide genomic investigation. We analysed 3,450 high-quality MPXV virus whole genomes from 24 African Union Member States, revealing the complex and concurrent circulation of Subclades Ia, Ib, IIa, and IIb. Subclade Ia showed high levels of virus diversity in reservoir hosts in Central Africa, detected through zoonotic transmission and some sustained human outbreak lastly detected. In contrast, Clade Ib exhibited signatures of sustained human to human transmission across Eastern and Southern Africa. Clade IIa remains largely zoonotic in West Africa. Like Ia, IIb shows continued zoonotic transmission, and sustained human outbreak linked to lineage G1 and G2 circulation. Phylogeographic analyses revealed frequent cross border transmission and interconnectedness, which was aligned with both human mobility corridors and international boundaries. For instance, the Democratic Republic of the Congo or Sierra Leone seems to emerge as a source of regional exportation, while the Cameroon and Nigeria, CAR and Cameroon or CAR and DRC interfaces reflected ongoing cross border zoonotic spillovers. These findings underscore the need for harmonised genomic surveillance, APOBEC3-aware triage, and integrated One Health strategies to prevent local outbreaks from escalating into regional epidemics and to inform vaccine deployment and public health preparedness.

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Drug response profiling guides precision therapy in relapsed and refractory childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Steffen, F. D.; Lissat, A.; Alten, J.; Kriston, A.; Scheidegger, N.; Eckert, C.; Bodmer, N.; Schori, L.; Schühle, S.; Arpagaus, A.; Gutnik, S.; Manioti, D.; Bruderer, N.; Zeckanovic, A.; Västrik, I.; Nyiri, G.; Kovacs, F.; Thorhauge Als-Nielsen, B. E.; Attarbaschi, A.; Rademacher, A.; Elitzur, S.; Jacoby, E.; De Moerloose, B.; Svenberg, P.; Ancliff, P.; Sramkova, L.; Buldini, B.; Balduzzi, A.; Boer, J. M.; Mielcarek, M.; Ceppi, F.; Ansari, M.; Halter, J.; Schmiegelow, K.; Locatelli, F.; DelBufalo, F.; Stanulla, M.; Kulozik, A. E.; Schrappe, M.; Rohrlich, P.; Cave, H.; Baruchel, A.; von Stack

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350164 medRxiv
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Children with relapsed or refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) require more effective and less toxic therapies. We established a prospective, multicenter Drug Response Profiling (DRP) registry (NCT06550102) integrating functional testing into precision-guided treatment. DRP was performed for 340 patients from 17 European countries with a turn-around time of two-weeks. Image-based drug screening with over 135000 unique perturbations revealed a heterogeneous landscape of ex vivo responses to 88 drugs on average. Ranking drug responses across the patient cohort defined individual drug fingerprints, identifying "DRP twins" by similarity in sensitivity and resistance independent of genetic ALL subtypes. Of 239 high-risk patients with follow-up, DRP-informed interventions were reported for 63 patients (26%). Patients received combination therapies based on venetoclax, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, trametinib, bortezomib or selinexor, resulting in objective clinical responses in 43 cases (68%). Precision-guided treatments allowed bridging to cellular therapies in 42 patients among whom 28 (67%) were still alive with a median follow-up of 21 months after DRP (IQR: 14.7-26.6 months). Top responders to venetoclax, ranked within the first tertile of the cohort, had superior 1-year event-survival compared to venetoclax non-responders (0.57 [95% CI, 0.39-0.85] vs. 0.25 [95% CI, 0.11-0.58]). Collectively, these findings demonstrate the feasibility and clinical relevance of functional profiling within an international network. This scalable framework enables individualized therapy selection for enrolment in adaptive precision trials for high-risk pediatric ALL.

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Implementation of point-of-care screening for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis among pregnant women in South Africa: a mixed-methods process evaluation of the Philani Ndiphile trial

Shaetonhodi, N. G.; De Vos, L.; Babalola, C.; de Voux, A.; Joseph Davey, D.; Mdingi, M.; Peters, R. P. H.; Klausner, J. D.; Medina-Marino, A.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350414 medRxiv
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BackgroundCurable sexually transmitted infections (STIs), including Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis, remain highly prevalent among pregnant women in South Africa. Despite poor diagnostic performance in pregnancy, syndromic management remains standard care. Point-of-care (POC) screening enables aetiological diagnosis and same-visit treatment but is not yet included in national guidelines. We conducted a mixed-methods process evaluation to examine determinants of antenatal POC STI screening implementation in public facilities. MethodsThis evaluation was embedded within the three-arm Philani Ndiphile randomized trial (March 2021-February 2025) across four public clinics in the Eastern Cape. Screening used a near-POC, electricity-dependent nucleic acid amplification test with a 90-minute turnaround time. Reach, Adoption, Implementation, and Maintenance were assessed using the RE-AIM framework. Quantitative indicators included uptake of screening, treatment, and follow-up attendance. Qualitative data included in-depth interviews with 20 pregnant women and five focus group discussions with 21 research staff and government healthcare workers. The Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research guided qualitative analysis. Findings were integrated using narrative weaving. ResultsScreening uptake was high (99.0%), with treatment coverage of 95.2% at baseline and 93.5% at repeat screening. Same-day treatment was lower (50.7% and 69.8%) and varied substantially by facility, reflecting operational constraints including turnaround time, patient volume, infrastructure, and electricity. Attendance was higher when screening was integrated into routine ANC. Women valued screening for infant health, while providers recognised advantages over syndromic management but highlighted workforce, resource, and maintenance constraints. Socioeconomic factors, including transport costs, hunger, and work commitments, influenced retention and waiting. ConclusionsAntenatal POC STI screening was acceptable and achieved high treatment coverage in a research setting. However, same-day treatment was constrained by operational requirements of the testing platform. Scale-up will require workflow integration, strengthened health system capacity, and faster diagnostics suited to routine antenatal care. Key MessagesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSSyndromic management remains standard antenatal care in many low-resource settings despite failing to capture up to 89% of infections that remain asymptomatic. Point-of-care aetiological screening has demonstrated feasibility, acceptability, and potential clinical benefit in research settings, yet has not been widely adopted into national policy. Limited evidence exists on the health system requirements and contextual determinants influencing scale-up within routine public facilities. What this study addsThis mixed-methods process evaluation demonstrates high uptake and treatment coverage of antenatal POC STI screening in a trial setting, while identifying facility-level, structural, and socioeconomic factors shaping same-day treatment and retention. We show that implementation success varies substantially across clinics and depends on assay characteristics, workflow integration, human resources, infrastructure reliability, and follow-up capacity. How this study might affect research, practice or policyThese findings provide implementation-relevant evidence to inform national policy deliberations on integrating POC STI screening into antenatal care. Sustainable scale-up will require context-adapted delivery models, strengthened workforce and supply systems, faster diagnostics, and alignment with existing ANC workflows to ensure equitable and durable impact.

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Patterns and predictors of antibiotic use among livestock owners in northeast Madagascar

Xiao, M.; Girard, Q.; Pender, M.; Rabezara, J. Y.; Rahary, P.; Randrianarisoa, S.; Rasambainarivo, F.; Rasolofoniaina, O.; Soarimalala, V.; Janko, M. M.; Nunn, C. L.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350537 medRxiv
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PurposeAntibiotic use (ABU) is a major driver of antimicrobial resistance (AMR), but ABU patterns are poorly understood in low-income countries where the burden of AMR is great and ABU is insufficiently regulated. Here, we report ABU from ten sites ranging from rural villages to small cities in Madagascar, a country with high AMR levels, and present results from modeling to identify factors that may be associated with ABU in this setting. MethodsWe conducted surveys of 290 individuals from ten sites in the SAVA Region of northeast Madagascar to gather data on sociodemographic characteristics, agricultural and animal husbandry practices, recent antibiotic use, the antibiotics that participants recalled using in their lifetimes, and the sources of their antibiotics. Using these data, we conducted statistical analyses with a mixed-effects logistic model to determine which characteristics were associated with recent antibiotic use. ResultsNearly all respondents (N=283, 97.6%) reported ABU in their lifetimes, with amoxicillin being the most widely reported antibiotic (N=255, 90.1% of those reporting ABU). All recalled antibiotics were classified as frontline drugs except for ciprofloxacin. Most respondents who reported antibiotic use also reported obtaining antibiotics without prescriptions from local stores (N=273, 96.5%), while only 52.3% (N=148) reported obtaining antibiotics through a prescriptive route, such as from a health clinic or private doctor. Of the 127 individuals (44.9%) who reported recent ABU, men were found to be significantly less likely to have recently taken antibiotics than women. ConclusionsOur findings provide new insights into ABU in agricultural settings in low-income countries, which have historically been understudied in AMR and pharmacoepidemiologic research. Knowledge of ABU patterns supports understanding of AMR dynamics and AMR control efforts in these contexts, such as interventions on inappropriate antibiotic dispensing. Key pointsO_LIAntibiotic use (ABU) in Madagascar is largely unstudied despite its role in antimicrobial resistance (AMR), which Madagascar faces a high burden of. C_LIO_LIABU was widespread among livestock owners in northeast Madagascar, with the majority of study participants reporting ABU in their lifetimes and most people reporting ABU also having taken antibiotics in the previous three months. C_LIO_LIMost respondents reported obtaining their antibiotics from non-pharmaceutical stores, indicating high levels of unregulated ABU, though more than half also reported sourcing their antibiotics through prescriptive means (like doctors and health clinics). C_LIO_LIMen were less likely than women to have taken antibiotics in the previous three months. C_LIO_LIThese findings support the development of interventions to mitigate the burden of AMR in Madagascar and similar contexts while underscoring the need for more comprehensive research on the drivers and patterns of ABU. C_LI Plain language summaryIn this study, we provide basic information on antibiotic use (ABU) patterns in Madagascar, a country that experiences high levels of resistance but has been particularly understudied in AMR and pharmacological research. We surveyed 290 farmers with livestock from ten sites across northeast Madagascar about their ABU and found that nearly all study participants (N=283, 97.6%) have used antibiotics in their lifetimes, while a little under half of those who reported ABU also reported using antibiotics in the previous three months (N=127, 44.9%). The most used antibiotic was amoxicillin (N=255, 90.1%). Most people obtained their antibiotics from sources that do not require prescriptions, like general stores, indicating that most ABU is unregulated. Through modeling, we also found that men were less likely than women to have taken antibiotics in the previous three months (OR=0.50, CI 0.30-0.82). These findings help us better understand the dynamics of ABU in low-income countries, which have historically been understudied in AMR and pharmacological research. They also support efforts to mitigate the burden of AMR by revealing ABU dynamics that may contribute to the emergence and spread of AMR, as well as identifying targets for intervention to curb inappropriate ABU.

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Invasive cervical cancers after an HPV-negative test: insights from screening histories

Hassan, S. S.; Nordqvist-Kleppe, S.; Asinger, N.; Wang, J.; Dillner, J.; Arroyo Muhr, L. S.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350679 medRxiv
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Human papillomavirus (HPV) testing is the primary method for cervical cancer screening, and a negative HPV test is associated with a very low subsequent risk of invasive cancer. Nevertheless, a small number of cervical cancers are diagnosed following an HPV-negative testing result, posing challenges within HPV-based screening pathways. Using nationwide Swedish registry data of HPV testing, we identified women diagnosed with invasive cervical cancer between 2019 and 2024 and reconstructed HPV testing histories from the National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). The most recent HPV test prior to diagnosis was defined as the index test, and longitudinal HPV testing trajectories were classified among women with an HPV-negative index test. Of 3,000 women diagnosed with invasive cancer, 243 (8.1%) had an HPV-negative index test. These women were older at diagnosis and more frequently diagnosed at advanced stages compared with women with an HPV-positive index test. Most HPV-negative index tests (66.3%) were performed in the peri-diagnostic period (+/- 30 days). Among women with an HPV-negative index test, 52.7% (128/243) had no prior HPV testing recorded, while the remainder had consistently HPV-negative histories (33.3%, 83/243) or evidence of prior HPV positivity before the index negative test (14%, 32/243). Possible recurrent HPV positivity following an intervening negative test was rare (0.4%, 1/243). HPV-negative screening results preceding invasive cancer reflect heterogeneous screening histories and cannot be explained solely by test failure. Findings highlighting the importance of reaching women earlier in screening programs and show that fluctuating HPV detectability is rare.

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Policy Levers of HIV Control: Targeted Service Coverage, Financial Protection, and Estimated New HIV Infections in Southeast Asia, 2013-2022

Hung, J.; Smith, A.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350590 medRxiv
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The global ambition to end the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic requires understanding which system-level policy levers, enacted under the framework of Universal Health Coverage (UHC), are most effective in achieving both transmission reduction and diagnostic coverage. This study addresses an important evidence gap by quantifying the within-country association between measurable UHC policy indicators and the estimated rate of new HIV infections across nine Southeast Asian countries between 2013 and 2022. Employing a Fixed-Effects panel data methodology, the analysis controls for time-invariant national heterogeneity, ensuring reliable estimates of policy impact. We found that marginal changes in total current health expenditure (CHE) as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) were not statistically significantly associated with changes in HIV incidence. However, increases in the UHC Infectious Disease Service Coverage Index were statistically significantly associated with concurrent reductions in HIV incidence (p < 0.001), suggesting the efficacy of targeted service implementation as the principal driver of curbing new HIV infections. In addition, the UHC Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, and Child Health Service Coverage Index exhibited a statistically significant positive association with changes in HIV incidence (p < 0.01), which is interpreted as a vital surveillance artefact resulting from expanded detection and reporting of previously undiagnosed HIV cases. Furthermore, out-of-pocket (OOP) health expenditure as a percentage of CHE showed a counter-intuitive negative association with changes in HIV incidence (p < 0.01), suggesting this metric primarily shows ongoing indirect cost burdens on the established patient cohort, or, alternatively, presents a diagnostic access barrier that results in lower case finding. These findings suggest that policymakers should prioritise investment in targeted infectious disease service efficacy over aggregate fiscal commitment and utilise integrated sexual health platforms for strengthened HIV surveillance and case identification.

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Years Lived without Chronic Diseases after Statutory Retirement - A Register Linkage Follow-up Study in Finland 2000-2021

Pietilainen, O.; Salonsalmi, A.; Rahkonen, O.; Lahelma, E.; Lallukka, T.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.12.26348889 medRxiv
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Objectives: Longer lifespans lead to longer time on retirement, despite the efforts to raise the retirement age. Therefore, it is important to study how the retirement years can be spent without diseases. This study examined socioeconomic and sociodemographic differences in healthy years spent on retirement. Methods: We followed a cohort of retired Finnish municipal employees (N=4231, average follow-up 15.4 years) on national administrative registers for major chronic diseases: cancer, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, mental disorders, and alcohol-related disorders. Median healthy years on retirement and age at first occurrence of illness (ICD-10 and ATC-based) in each combination of sex, occupational class, and age of retirement were predicted using Royston-Parmar models. Prevalence rates for each diagnostic group were calculated. Results: Most healthy years on retirement were spent by women having worked in semi-professional jobs who retired at age 60-62 (median predicted healthy years 11.6, 95% CI 10.4-12.7). The least healthy years on retirement were spent by men having worked in routine non-manual jobs who retired after age 62 (median predicted healthy years 6.5, 95% CI 4.4-9.5). Diabetes was slightly more common among lower occupational class women, and dementia among manual working women having retired at age 60-62. Discussion: Healthy years on retirement are not enjoyed equally by women and men and those who retire early or later. Policies aiming to increase the retirement age should consider the effects of these gaps on retirees and the equitability of those effects.