Reactive and predictive processes during unpredictable driving hazards in virtual reality: an exploratory brain and body study with multimodal neurophysiological monitoring
Cannard, C.; Demet Yesilbas, D.
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Anticipatory neurophysiological activity before unpredictable emotional events has been reported for decades, but the effects are small, difficult to replicate, and obtained almost exclusively in stripped-down laboratory paradigms. Whether they reflect genuine predictive processes or methodological artifacts remains debated; one rarely tested possibility is that such settings mute it. We examined anticipation in an immersive virtual reality (VR) driving simulation whose collision outcomes were assigned by a quantum random number generator, while EEG, photoplethysmography (PPG), EMG, EOG and inertial (IMU) signals were recorded from a single wireless dry-electrode headset built into the VR display. Sixteen participants passively observed 120 driving sequences ending in a collision or no collision. Length-matched pre- and post-stimulus windows were analysed identically with mass-univariate hierarchical general linear models under permutation cluster correction, plus machine-learning classification across held-out participants. Two post-stimulus clusters differentiated the conditions, the largest peaking at 451.6 ms (d = -1.35), with broadband power modulation robust to baseline modelling, decoded from held-out participants with up to 93.8% accuracy. No time-domain effect or decodable information preceded stimulus onset, but a broadband spectral difference did, surviving preregistered controls for expectation bias (run length), time-on-task build-up and ocular or facial-muscle artifact: directionally consistent in 13 of 15 participants, with pre- and post-stimulus power coupled in all 16. Heart rate differentiated the conditions neither alone nor when added to the classifier. The study was preregistered; the BIDS-format data, analysis code and an open-source EEGLAB plugin are publicly available.
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