A First-Visit Clinical Score to Distinguish Immunoglobulin Light-Chain from Wild-Type Transthyretin Cardiac Amyloidosis: Derivation and Internal Validation
Matsumoto, Y.; Izumiya, Y.; Kawano, Y.; Kuyama, N.; Morikawa, K.; Tabira, A.; Yamamoto, M.; Hirakawa, K.; Ishii, M.; Hanatani, S.; Matsuzawa, Y.; Usuku, H.; Yamamoto, E.; Soejima, H.; Tsujita, K.
Show abstract
Background: Delayed diagnosis of immunoglobulin light-chain cardiac amyloidosis (AL-CA) worsens prognosis, partly because AL-CA and wild-type transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTRwt-CA) are difficult to distinguish at the initial cardiology visit. We developed and validated a practical score to triage AL-CA from ATTRwt-CA. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 541 consecutive patients with cardiac amyloidosis (91 AL-CA, 450 ATTRwt-CA) at our institution's amyloidosis center, randomly divided into derivation (n=378) and validation (n=163) cohorts. Candidate first-visit variables underwent LASSO selection after multiple imputation, with estimates pooled by Rubin's rules. Performance was assessed by bootstrap validation, calibration, and decision curve analysis. The model was converted into a simplified point-based score. Results: Seven variables were retained: age, absence of atrial fibrillation, absence of carpal tunnel syndrome, low serum albumin, proteinuria ([≥]1+), low voltage, and thinner left ventricular posterior wall thickness. Areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.97 in the derivation cohort and 0.99 in the validation cohort; the bootstrap optimism-corrected AUC was 0.96. The model provided net benefit across threshold probabilities of 0.01-0.50. Risk tiering categorized the validation cohort into low (0-5 points; AL-CA 0%), intermediate (6?9 points; 26%), and high (10-13 points; 95%) probability groups. Discrimination remained high for AL-CA versus monoclonal protein-positive ATTRwt-CA at a cutoff of [≥]8 points (AUC 0.90). Adding this score to monoclonal protein testing significantly improved diagnostic performance compared with monoclonal protein testing alone. Conclusions: This simple first-visit score may help cardiologists rapidly triage suspected AL-CA and prioritize urgent hematology referral and subtype-specific confirmatory testing.
Matching journals
The top 10 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.
Similar papers in this journal
- Rare Genetic Variants Associated with Sudden Cardiac Arrest in the Young: A Prospective, Population-Based Study 90%
- Variant location is a novel risk factor for individuals with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy due to a desmoplakin (DSP) truncating variant 90%
- Natural History, Phenotype Spectrum and Clinical Outcomes of Desmin ( DES )-Associated Cardiomyopathy 89%
Similar papers in this journal
- Echocardiographic characterization and markers of cardiovascular risk in adults with sickle cell disease in a Colombian tertiary referral centre: a cross-sectional study 90%
- Sickle cell disease complications: prevalence and resource utilization 90%
- Predicting 30-Day and 1-Year Mortality in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF) 89%
Similar papers in this journal
- Electrocardiographic Manifestations of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Myocarditis 89%
- Reduction of clonal hematopoiesis mutation burden in coronary patients treated with low-dose colchicine 88%
- The Impact of Fontan Circulatory Failure on Heart Transplant Survival: A 20 Center Retrospective Cohort Study 87%
Similar papers in this journal
Similar papers in this journal
"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.