Back

Testing Claimed Associations of Prenatal Acetaminophen with Neurodevelopmental Disorders: Re-analysis Using Bias-Correction Methods

Grover, A.; Reis-Pardal, J.; Ellis, R. J.; Ioannidis, J.; Patel, C. J.

2026-09-04 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.08.28.26361666 medRxiv
Show abstract

Background: A 2025 systematic review concluded there was "strong evidence of a likely relationship" between prenatal acetaminophen exposure and neurodevelopmental disorders, informing a federal health advisory, based on qualitative synthesis without quantitative pooling or bias correction. We reanalysed the same studies to test whether this association withstands standard meta-analytic and bias-correction methods. Methods: We used 24 of 46 studies from a 2025 Navigation Guide systematic review (PubMed search through 25 February 2025) that reported a ratio measure (hazard ratio, odds ratio, relative risk, or incidence rate ratio). Estimates were collapsed to one per study, outcome group, and design, yielding 30 study-level estimates (sample sizes, 307-2,480,797) for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), autism spectrum disorder (ASD), and other neurodevelopmental disorders. We applied random-effects meta-analysis, eight publication-bias-correction methods, a credibility-ceiling sensitivity analysis, and five quality-filtered subsets, then repeated all analyses after harmonising odds and hazard ratios onto a common risk-ratio scale. Results: The ASD association attenuated from 1.14 (95% CI, 1.01-1.28) to 1.08 (95% CI, 0.97-1.19; P=.17) once each study was weighted once rather than by its number of sub-analyses, before any bias correction. The ADHD association remained positive under most bias-correction methods (range, 1.02-1.31), but its 95% CI crossed 1.00 under a 15% credibility ceiling. The other-NDD association reversed direction under one method (ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.65-1.19) and showed no right-skew on p-curve testing (P=.71). Conclusions: The claim of "strong evidence" for an acetaminophen-neurodevelopmental-disorder association was not supported by this reanalysis. A modest ADHD association persisted, while ASD and other-NDD estimates moved toward the null.

Matching journals

The top 12 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

50% of probability mass above

"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.