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Revascularisation versus amputation for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical outcomes and patient characteristics

Green, J. L.; Davies, H.; Russell, D. A.

2026-08-31 surgery
10.64898/2026.08.26.26361311 medRxiv
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Background: The relative merits of infrainguinal bypass and primary major lower limb amputation (MLLA) for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) remain uncertain, and the baseline profiles of patients selected for each strategy are poorly described. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and prospectively registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022356094). MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL were searched from inception to March 2025. Prospective studies of adults with CLTI undergoing primary infrainguinal bypass or primary MLLA were eligible. Mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and subsequent amputation outcomes were synthesised using random-effects meta-analysis of proportions. Baseline comorbidity profiles were also extracted. Results: Twenty-seven studies involving 6,576 patients were included: 5,779 underwent infrainguinal bypass and 797 underwent MLLA. After bypass, pooled mortality was 3.7% at 30 days (95% CI 2.8%-4.9%, I2 = 49.4%), 18.5% at 1 year (95% CI 15.6%-21.9%, I2 = 62.3%), and 54.3% at 5 years (95% CI 50.5%-58.0%, I2 = 0%). After MLLA, pooled mortality was 9.2% at 30 days (95% CI 4.1%-19.3%, I2 = 73.5%), 28.5% at 1 year (95% CI 13.3%-51.0, I2 = 70.8%), and 39.9% at 2 years (95% CI 0.3%-99.3, I2 = 90.5%), although longer-term estimates were limited by sparse data and marked heterogeneity. Thirty-day MACE was 6.5% (95% CI 4.3%-9.7, I2 = 63.5%) after bypass and 2.8% after MLLA (95% CI 0.1%-37.6%, I2 = 0%). Early subsequent major amputation after bypass occurred in 3.9% of patients (95% CI 2.0%-7.7%, I2 = 91.2%), rising to 16.2% at 1 year (95% CI 12.6%-20.5%, I2 = 82.0%) and 33.3% at 3 years (95% CI 20.1%-49.8%, I2 = 0%). Early re-amputation after MLLA occurred in 10.9% of patients (95% CI 4.5%-24.4%, I2 = 40.3%). Baseline comorbidity burden was high in both groups, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. Conclusions: CLTI carries a poor prognosis regardless of treatment strategy. Infrainguinal bypass is associated with lower early mortality and better early limb preservation than primary MLLA, but long-term survival remains poor and later limb failure is common. Primary MLLA is not a low-risk alternative. Better contemporary comparative evidence utilising modern causal inference approaches is needed to support individualised decision-making.

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