Predation by migratory birds shapes seasonally fluctuating selection on a sexually selected signal

Sexually selected traits often impose fitness costs on their bearers. Yet, the relative costs and benefits of conspicuous traits can vary through space and time, driving variation in selection acting on those traits. For insects, an important but overlooked source of such variation is seasonal shifts in the local abundance of migratory insectivorous birds. Smoky rubyspot damselflies (Hetaerina titia) exhibit a marked seasonal polyphenism in wing pigmentation throughout much of North America, with individuals emerging in the summer exhibiting conspicuous dark wings. Here, we test the hypothesis that this variation is an adaptive response to seasonal and geographical variation in predation risk. First, we find evidence for strong constraints acting on wing phenotypes outside of the summer season, consistent with a seasonal shift in the relative costs and benefits of pigmentation. Second, using a continentally distributed predation experiment, we find that predation risk covaries with spatiotemporal variation in wing pigmentation and is linked to shifts in the local abundance of migratory birds. Overall, our analyses establish an eco-evolutionary link between tropical and temperate regions, underscoring the importance of considering both the evolutionary and ecological consequences of spatiotemporal variation in biotic interactions as species assemblages shift in response to global change.