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Potential Cost of Multi-Cancer Detection Tests to Medicare

Scherer, L. D.; Matlock, D. D.; Cronin, J.; Gritz, M.

2026-08-27 health economics
10.64898/2026.08.24.26361257 medRxiv
Show abstract

Multi-Cancer Detection (MCD) tests can detect more than 50 different types of cancer using a blood test. Recently passed law in the U.S. guarantees that Medicare will pay for these tests when they are FDA approved and show evidence for clinical benefit. This manuscript provides estimates of the cost of MCD tests to Medicare under different assumptions of cost per test, eligibility, and screening uptake in the eligible population. This manuscript additionally estimates the cost of follow-up testing resulting from false positive results, which are considered avoidable costs caused by the screening test.

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