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Gray fox (Urocyon cinereoargenteus) survival in southern Illinois, USA

Pershyn, N.; Nielsen, C. K.; Bastille-Rousseau, G.

2026-08-21 ecology
10.64898/2026.08.20.746046 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Gray fox (Urocyon cinereoargenteus) populations in the Midwestern USA have suffered precipitous declines in recent decades, yet they are relatively understudied. However, understanding survival and cause-specific mortality is vital for declining populations and the limited existing survival studies have been performed outside of the Midwest. We equipped 13 gray foxes in southern Illinois with GPS radio collars to investigate their survival and cause-specific mortality. We calculated the Kaplan-Meier 6- and 12-month survival rates to be 0.79 (95% CI: 0.57-1.0) and 0.53 (95% CI: 0.27-1.0), respectively. We recorded 4 mortalities: 1 disease, 1 gunshot, and 2 unknown causes. While our study has a small sample size, it contributes key information on a data-deficient mesocarnivore suffering from a population decline driven by undefined causes. We recommend further research into the survival and mortality of this elusive mesocarnivore.

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