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Wildfire smoke delays breeding and alters reproductive outcomes in cavity-nesting songbirds

Spina, H. A.; Sanderfoot, O. V.; Ahmadov, R.; Bailey, R. L.; James, E.; Karambelas, A.; Raby, S.; Siegrist, J.; Stillman, A. N.; Tingley, M. W.

2026-08-19 ecology
10.64898/2026.08.18.745532 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Smoke from spring boreal wildfires increasingly impacts eastern North America, exposing breeding birds to hazardous air pollution that may impact reproductive outcomes. Using data collected in 2018-2025 from 70,979 monitored nests of four widespread cavity-nesting songbirds, we found strong evidence that smoke greatly delays egg laying and can extend incubation and nestling duration. We further found that while smoke is associated with increased clutch sizes, in some species smoke exposure strongly decreases hatching or fledging success. Our results demonstrate that extreme smoke can have wide-ranging impacts on breeding birds, from altering phenology to impacting fitness. While the exact mechanisms underlying these results remain elusive, the full suite of effects suggests that modifications to adult behavior under smoky conditions is the most likely cause. As fire regimes shift, birds and other wildlife are at greater risk of exposure to toxic smoke during the breeding season, which may further exacerbate the biodiversity crisis.

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