Nutrient enrichment and herbivore exclusion disrupt the climate-driven balance between C3 and C4 plants in grasslands

The distribution of plants with different photosynthetic pathways is strongly structured by climate, with C3 plants favoured in cooler temperate regions and C4 plants in hotter, high-light conditions. The relative abundance of C3 and C4 plants across the world has cascading impacts on local food webs, decomposition, productivity and other vital ecosystem processes. Human impacts, including climate change, changes to herbivore assemblages, and increased nutrient availability, are shifting the optimal conditions for important C3 and C4-dominated ecosystems and crops. Using 3,184 plot-level observations from 112 sites across six continents, we reveal how chronic nutrient enrichment disrupts the climate-driven balance between C3 and C4 plants in grasslands. We found that, consistent with expectations, the global distribution of C4 plants was strongly related to climate. However, experimental nutrient addition reduced the relative cover of C4 species, with the strongest declines found when nitrogen and phosphorus were added together. Herbivore exclusion had no consistent effect on C4 plants. Our results provide global experimental evidence that elevated nutrients, particularly nitrogen, alter competitive outcomes among plant functional types to suppress C4 grasses, even in climatically optimal conditions. This has major implications for predicting vegetation responses to global change, with consequences for carbon cycling, primary productivity, herbivore dynamics, and food security.