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Modeling steady state thermoregulation of near-term human fetus

Payne, A.; Joshi, A.; Viswanathan, S. H.; Shah, S. P.; Zhang, D.; Lindsey, S. E.; Rykaczewski, K.

2026-08-21 biophysics
10.64898/2026.08.13.744721 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Maternal thermal strain is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, yet fetal temperatures cannot currently be directly measured, limiting quantification of fetal thermal strain. Here, we develop two steady-state models for estimating internal temperatures in a near-term fetus. First, we improve the only previously published human fetal thermoregulation model, deriving a closed-form solution within its simplified uniform-cylinder representation. Second, we introduce a multilayer, anatomically segmented model that resolves tissue-specific temperatures. Both couple the fetal body to central blood pool and amniotic fluid compartments and incorporate a new placenta-umbilical cord heat-exchanger representation. Predictions agree with available intrauterine scalp measurements, with fetal core and head-center temperatures approximately 0.5{degrees}C and 0.8{degrees}C above maternal core, respectively. Physiologically plausible changes in umbilical cord heat-exchanger effectiveness or blood flow increased fetal temperatures by approximately 0.3{degrees}C. These models enable estimation of otherwise inaccessible temperatures, while the multilayer formulation lays a foundation for transient, coupled maternal-fetal thermoregulation modeling.

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