EPAS1 Adaptive Loss-of-Function Variants as Germline Determinants of Primary Antiangiogenic TKI Resistance in High-Altitude Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Translational Pharmacogenomic Study

Purpose: Whether host germline genetic variation determines tumor drug response remains underexplored. We evaluated whether EPAS1 (HIF-2) adaptive loss-of-function variants, enriched in high-altitude-adapted populations, predispose HCC to primary antiangiogenic TKI resistance through a HIF-2/STC2 signaling axis. Experimental Design: We integrated five independent data sources: the QHRCH-HCC retrospective cohort (n = 1,396), multi-ancestry iPSC-derived endothelial cell transcriptome data (GSE160906), TCGA pan-cancer data (LIHC, KIRC, LUAD, BRCA), GDSC2 pharmacogenomics (n = 951 cell lines; 11 antiangiogenic TKIs), and DepMap dependency data. The AESI_score integrated altitude, AFP-PIVKA-II inversion, platelet-altitude, and hemoglobin-altitude dimensions. Bayesian evidence integration employed the Effective Number of Independent Pieces of Evidence (ENIPE) method ({delta} = 0.504). Results: In QHRCH-HCC, altitude correlated positively with PIVKA-II ({rho} = +0.244, p = 0.0003) and with an altitude-adaptive genetic background score ({rho} = +0.517, p = 5.59x10-49). Under hypoxia, EPAS1 expression in high-altitude-adapted iPSC-ECs was reduced to 61.4% of controls (p = 0.0006), while STC2 remained relatively unaffected (89.2%, p = 0.180). In TCGA-LIHC, EPAS1[->]STC2 was weak ({rho} = 0.092) compared with HIF1A[->]STC2 ({rho} = 0.379, p = 2.21x10-14), establishing a negative control. Cross-cancer validation revealed strong EPAS1[->]STC2 in ccRCC ({rho} = 0.320, p = 3.47x10-14) but not in LUAD or BRCA. In GDSC2, EPAS1 correlated positively with IC50 of all 11 antiangiogenic TKIs (sign test p = 0.0005). Bayesian updating yielded posterior probability 0.970 (Log10BF = 1.99). Conclusions: EPAS1 LoF represents a germline determinant of TKI response, independent of tumor-acquired mutations. The AESI_score and HIF-2 inhibitor belzutifan constitute a predictive biomarker-therapeutic pair for genotype-stratified clinical validation. This hypothesis-generating study establishes a germline determinant framework for TKI resistance; definitive mechanistic validation will require prospective EPAS1 genotype-stratified cohorts (2023-ZJ-786).