Decline in Kappaphycus alvarezii invasion in the Gulf of Mannar, India

Blue Economy models position aquaculture as a key pathway to securing global food security. Species selected for aquaculture typically show rapid growth, high stress tolerance and fast biomass accumulation, but these same traits may increase their potential to become invasive when introduced beyond their native range. We investigated the invasion history and current status of the commercially important red seaweed Kappaphycus alvarezii in the Palk Bay-Gulf of Mannar region of India. This is one of the worlds largest cultivation hubs, a climatically vulnerable marine biodiversity hotspot, and one of the three regions to report invasion. We combined in-water surveys, interviews with wild seaweed collectors, and a review of published literature to reconstruct the history of invasion and assess current status. Invasion has declined substantially, with interviews indicating that the disappearance of invasive populations began around 2014. We discuss several non-mutually exclusive explanations for this decline, including climate change, loss of coral substrate, herbivory, and reduced vitality of the seaweed. Although the decline in invasion is encouraging for coral reefs, our findings raise questions about the ecological and socioeconomic consequences of introducing non-native aquaculture species under Blue Economy initiatives, particularly in ecologically sensitive regions vulnerable to climate change.