A Preparation-Free Mixture-of-Experts Framework for Protein-Ligand Affinity Prediction

Protein-ligand affinity (PLA) prediction is central to AI-driven drug discovery, but precise interaction-based methods require costly conformation preparation and data encoding, limiting their throughput. To reconcile accuracy with efficiency, we first investigate whether pre-trained molecular representation models can replace complex encoders. A unified and diverse assessment of sequence-, graph-, and image-based representations reveals both strong overall performance and family-wise variability, delivering the first practical guidance for encoder selection in PLA tasks. Next, to achieve high computational efficiency without sacrificing expressiveness, we adopt the mixture-of-experts (MoE) strategy from large language models. Systematic ablation studies uncover key design principles for deploying MoE in molecular prediction. The resulting model, HydrAffinity, is an interaction-free, dynamic sparse model that uses pre-trained encoders and MoE for parameter-efficient learning. It outperforms all interaction-free methods and matches state-of-the-art interaction-based methods on CASF-2016. Routing analysis confirms that MoE develops distinct, family-specific activation patterns, providing interpretable evidence of dynamic parameterization across protein classes. Zero-shot tests on DUDE-Z and LIT-PCBA further show strong EF5% performance, making HydrAffinity a practical, scalable solution acting as an effective early-stage pre-filter. Graphic abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=79 SRC="FIGDIR/small/740495v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (26K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@fb7a56org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1cc154org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1d874eeorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1e4db22_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG