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Acute associations between ambient air pollution and risks of preterm and early-term births: results from 8 states in the United States

Zheng, X.; Fitch, A.; Warren, J. L.; Hao, H.; Strickland, M. J.; Newman, A. J.; Darrow, L. A.; Chang, H. H.

2026-07-21 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.07.19.26358434 medRxiv
Show abstract

Exposure to higher levels of ambient air pollution during pregnancy has been linked to multiple adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, studies on acute exposures and reduced gestation length have reported inconsistent findings. This project aims to examine the acute association between ambient air pollution and preterm (28-36 gestational weeks) or early-term (37-38 gestational weeks) births. Daily concentrations of 12 air pollutants, based on bias-corrected numerical model outputs, were linked to vital records of singleton live preterm and early-term births from 2005-2017 in California, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Nevada, New Jersey, North Carolina (2005-2015), and Oregon. Under a time-stratified case-crossover design, odds ratios (OR) were estimated via conditional logistic regression with adjustment for risks among ongoing pregnancies, meteorology, time trends and federal holidays. We estimated cumulative associations up to a 6-day lag using distributed lag models. Risk estimates per interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure were pooled across states using inverse-variance weighting. Our study included 1,085,162 preterm and 3,901,185 early-term births. We observed positive associations between 0-2 day cumulate exposure to several air pollutants and early-term births, including NO2 (OR: 1.0023, 95% CI:1.0010, 1.0037 per 7.1 g/m3 increase), PM2.5 (OR=1.0022, 95% CI: 1.006, 1.0038 per 4.6 g/m3 increase), PM2.5 organic carbon (OR= 1.0026, 95% CI: 1.0013, 1.0039 per 1.7 g/m3 increase) and PM2.5 elemental carbon (OR=1.0025, 95% CI: 1.0014, 1.0035 per 0.26 g/m3 increase). Associations with preterm birth were mostly null. In conclusion, we found positive associations between short-term air pollution exposure, including PM and major PM2.5 components, and risks of early-term birth.

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