Back

Electrocorticographic Network Feature Space Constriction as a Preictal Biomarker

Goetz, J.; Beggs, J. M.; Worth, R.; Nemzer, L. R.

2026-07-13 neuroscience
10.64898/2026.07.08.736809 bioRxiv
Show abstract

In patients with epilepsy, seizures are associated with pathological neural synchronization. However, the preictal period preceding a seizure often exhibits reduced spatial synchronization compared to normal cognition. This observation aligns with the concept of the brain as a complex dynamical system, where a reduction in dimensionality and resilience can precede a phase transition. The Critical Brain Hypothesis suggests a connection between the loss of healthy scale-free behavior and various disorders, including epilepsy. Our study investigates preictal changes by utilizing network features, such as mean node degree and mean clustering coefficient, derived from thresholded correlation matrices of patient intracranial electrocorticographic electrode data. We observed a suppression of intermittent high-synchronization periods within the feature space during the minutes leading up to seizure onset. This constriction of the explored hypervolume in the preictal state indicates a breakdown in the brains ability to maintain normal coherence. We use these preictal changes to predict the probability of seizure onset using a Support Vector Machine algorithm. These discrete predictions can then be combined into real-time continuous seizure risk forecasts via Bayesian updating. This innovative and computationally lightweight approach has the potential to significantly improve upon static predictions, providing opportunities for more adaptable, quantitative, and interpretable tools for managing seizures.

Matching journals

The top 6 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
Scientific Reports
3612 papers in training set
Top 1%
15.0%
2
Journal of Neural Engineering
221 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
11.8%
3
PLOS Computational Biology
1863 papers in training set
Top 3%
9.7%
4
NeuroImage
903 papers in training set
Top 2%
7.8%
5
Network Neuroscience
126 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
5.1%
6
PLOS ONE
5266 papers in training set
Top 34%
4.0%
50% of probability mass above
7
Frontiers in Neuroscience
256 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.6%
8
Clinical Neurophysiology
56 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
2.4%
9
Communications Biology
993 papers in training set
Top 9%
2.4%
10
Journal of Neuroscience Methods
122 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
2.4%
11
Neuroinformatics
46 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
2.1%
12
Brain Communications
166 papers in training set
Top 2%
2.1%
13
Brain Topography
29 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.9%
14
Epilepsia
56 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
1.7%
15
Nature Communications
5641 papers in training set
Top 47%
1.5%
16
eneuro
439 papers in training set
Top 6%
1.3%
17
Human Brain Mapping
329 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.1%
18
IEEE Transactions on Neural Systems and Rehabilitation Engineering
49 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
1.1%
19
IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics
37 papers in training set
Top 1%
1.1%
20
Biomedical Signal Processing and Control
22 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
1.0%
21
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2444 papers in training set
Top 39%
1.0%
22
iScience
1154 papers in training set
Top 35%
0.8%
23
Patterns
78 papers in training set
Top 3%
0.8%
24
Communications Medicine
113 papers in training set
Top 5%
0.8%
25
Neurocomputing
13 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
0.8%
26
Frontiers in Computational Neuroscience
60 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.6%
27
eLife
5828 papers in training set
Top 69%
0.6%