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Evolution of mutation rates in digital genomes: the roles of genetic drift, mutational supply, and genome size

Fernandez de Grado, Q.; Frenoy, A.

2026-07-03 evolutionary biology
10.64898/2026.07.03.736272 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Mutation is the ultimate mechanism that produces genetic novelty, and thus a central ingredient of evolution. Mutation rates are therefore thought to be tuned by natural selection, for example to optimize a delicate balance between the generation of adaptive diversity and the accumulation of deleterious mutations. As this selection occurs over very long time scales, models and simulations have been powerful tools to understand how mutation rate evolves and which factors influence it. Most simulation methods are nevertheless limited by the over-simplicity of the genotype-to-phenotype map they feature, especially regarding the encoding of mutation rate. We modified Aevol, an evolutionary simulator inspired by bacterial genomics with a realistic genome structure and a complex genotype-to-phenotype layer, to allow organisms to evolve genes coding for higher replication fidelity. This setup permits several degrees of realism absent in other models: mutation-rate modifier genes themselves experience a realistic distribution of effects of mutations and diminishing- returns epistasis, similarly to fitness modifiers. Moreover, a lower mutation rate comes with the trade-off of a larger genome to encode the genes improving replication fidelity. We use this setup to test hypotheses regarding the evolution of prokaryotic mutation rate, and its link with genome size and genetic drift. We found that evolution systematically increases replication fidelity, even when this results in lower fitness. We highlight two factors which limit the mutation rate decrease: genetic drift and the supply of gain-of-fidelity mutations.

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