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Germline determinants of risk and molecular subtype in young-onset lung cancer

LoPiccolo, J.; Collins, R. L.; Fields, N.; Nakagawa, C.; Taraszka, K.; Wang, X.; Su, L.; Koeller, D. R.; Schwartz, A. L.; Pollaci, A. C.; Young, S. M.; Williamson, V. G.; Avila, J. A.; Voligny, E.; Nguyen, T.; Pangilinan, A. J.; Erwin, R. M.; Glitz, B. J.; Novello, S.; Oxford, G. R.; Chukwueke, U. N.; Brastianos, P. K.; Aizer, A. A.; Hatabu, M. N.; Florez, N.; Haigis, K.; Van Allen, E. M.; Nieva, J.; Garber, J.; Christiani, D. C.; Janne, P. A.; Gusev, A.

2026-07-10 oncology
10.64898/2026.06.30.26356693 medRxiv
Show abstract

Young-onset lung cancer is enriched for never-smoking and oncogene-driven tumors, yet its inherited genetic basis remains poorly defined. We performed germline whole-genome sequencing in 251 young-onset lung cancer cases (median age 37), which we jointly analyzed with never-smoking cases (n=196; median age 68) and cancer-free controls (n=1,883). We identified enrichments of rare deleterious coding variants across 55 cancer-related gene sets, including EGFR/ERBB2 signaling and genes implicated by prior lung cancer GWAS. Exome-wide analyses of rare coding variants affirmed TP53 as a penetrant lung cancer predisposition gene (odds ratio [OR]=36.1, p=1.02x10-7) and discovered two novel exome-wide significant tumor subtype-dependent associations: IREB2 in cases with fusion-driven tumors (p=1.39x10-6) and SMAD6 in fusion-negative tumors (p=2.05x10-6). Structural variants contributed distinct risk, with enrichment in constrained, lung-expressed genes (OR=5.79, p=5.8x10-5) and very large germline deletions being markedly enriched in cases with fusion-driven tumors. Polygenic risk scores for lung cancer were inversely correlated with rare variant burden, consistent with additive risk from rare and common variants. Collectively, these findings delineate a complex germline architecture underlying susceptibility and molecular subtype in young-onset lung cancer.

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