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Towards a Framework for Case Identification in Pharmacovigilance: Not All Reports are Created Equal.

Fusaroli, M.; Felix China, J.; Sartori, D.; Giunchi, V.; Harmark, L.; Scholl, J.; van Hunsel, F.; Noren, G. N.; Ellenius, J.

2026-07-01 pharmacology and therapeutics
10.64898/2026.06.23.26354546 medRxiv
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Background: Retrieval of adverse event reports based on coded drug-event co-occurrence enables large-scale pharmacovigilance analyses, but yields candidate reports rather than validated cases, risking misinterpretation if used alone. Aim: To develop and apply a framework for identification and characterization of clinically meaningful case series in pharmacovigilance. Methods: We conducted two case studies. The first developed and refined the framework in an information-rich setting, focusing on drug-induced impulsivity across selected drugs; the second tested its applicability in a more routine, information-poor setting, focusing on drug-induced suicidality. Results: In Case 1, non-relevant reports were frequent for drugs with uncertain evidence and negative controls ({approx}20-40%) compared to drugs with established causal roles (4%). The emerging framework assessed relevance based on exposure, event, drug-event relationship, and population. For suspected adverse drug reactions, relevant reports were further characterized by reporter suspicion and evidentiary qualifiers supporting or refuting causality; higher suspicion was associated with more supportive qualifiers. Applied to Case 2, the framework ruled out 69% of reports as non-relevant but highlighted substantial non-assessability (17%). Conclusions: In pharmacovigilance, retrieval is not equivalent to case identification. Relevance is question-specific and shaped by how reports are captured, processed, and retrieved. This can be especially critical for emerging or bias-prone safety questions. Transparent and reproducible case definition and adjudication are essential for interpretable analyses.

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