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Multi-trophic risk from human superpredators may alter predator-prey coexistence and population dynamics.

Dsouza, S.

2026-06-16 ecology
10.64898/2026.06.12.731855 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Humans are efficient and deadly predators, yet they may also interact with wildlife in non-lethal ways. This study explores how interactions with lethal and non-lethal human "superpredators" alter predator-prey dynamics using an agent-based modelling approach. Our model incorporates both the consumptive (lethal) and non-consumptive (behavioural) effects of humans, as well as of predators on prey. We explored how the replacement of apex predators by humans affects mesopredator-prey dynamics, with particular emphasis on trophic targeting and differences between lethal and non-lethal interactions. We found that human superpredators have a greater effect on model outcomes than apex predators. When superpredators consume mesopredators alone or with prey, the probability of mesopredator-prey coexistence increases to a greater extent than when apex predators consume mesopredators. In contrast, superpredators consuming only prey slightly increases overall extinction risks and reduces coexistence. Non-lethal superpredators, despite eliciting anti-predator responses in mesopredators and prey, had a negligible effect on population dynamics. Our findings demonstrate that human superpredators may functionally replace apex predators when they are lethal. However, non-lethal interactions with humans may not be as ecologically significant as lethal interactions, even when humans induce anti-predator responses.

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