Back

Emergent feasibility in random ecological systems with higher-order interactions

Lechon-Alonso, P.; Strang, A.; Breiding, P.; Allesina, S.

2026-06-17 ecology
10.64898/2026.06.11.728491 bioRxiv
Show abstract

A recurring lesson from random ecological models is that coexistence is hard to come by: in the Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) model with pairwise interactions, the probability that randomly sampled parameters admit a positive (feasible) equilibrium - a necessary condition for coexistence - is exactly 1/2n in n species, vanishing rapidly with diversity. This rarity is often read as evidence that coexistence demands specific ecological mechanisms. Real interactions, however, are rarely strictly pairwise: any nonlinear dependence of one species growth rate on anothers abundance, Taylor-expanded, generates higher-order interactions (HOIs) of increasing degree. Treating the interaction order d as a knob that indexes this nonlinearity, we map the random GLV with HOIs onto the Kostlan-Shub-Smale class of random polynomial systems and approximate the probability of feasibility (Pf ) analytically. We find a phase transition at d = 4: below this threshold, Pf decays with diversity as in the pairwise case; above it, the exponential proliferation of equilibria outpaces the probability that any given equilibrium is feasible, and the probability of feasibility increases with n, approaching one. The transition appears to be universal across symmetric coefficient distributions, but vanishes when sign symmetry of the parameter distribution is broken. This work uncovers a route by which feasibility emerges from nonlinearity alone, with no fine-tuning of parameters and no appeal to specific ecological mechanisms.

Matching journals

The top 9 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
Journal of The Royal Society Interface
235 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
9.5%
2
Ecology Letters
135 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
7.7%
3
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2444 papers in training set
Top 7%
6.5%
4
Journal of Theoretical Biology
162 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
6.5%
5
Ecology
85 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
5.3%
6
Nature Communications
5641 papers in training set
Top 30%
4.7%
7
Physical Review E
112 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
4.2%
8
The American Naturalist
125 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
4.2%
9
Cell Systems
201 papers in training set
Top 1%
4.2%
50% of probability mass above
10
Oikos
84 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
3.9%
11
Scientific Reports
3612 papers in training set
Top 30%
3.4%
12
Communications Physics
14 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
3.2%
13
PLOS Computational Biology
1863 papers in training set
Top 11%
3.1%
14
Physical Review X
25 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
2.7%
15
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
393 papers in training set
Top 3%
2.3%
16
Ecology and Evolution
267 papers in training set
Top 3%
2.1%
17
Theoretical Ecology
24 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
2.1%
18
Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
92 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
1.6%
19
Journal of Mathematical Biology
40 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
1.5%
20
PNAS Nexus
159 papers in training set
Top 1%
1.5%
21
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
72 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
1.3%
22
Communications Biology
993 papers in training set
Top 23%
1.1%
23
Patterns
78 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.1%
24
Science Advances
1243 papers in training set
Top 27%
1.0%
25
PLOS ONE
5266 papers in training set
Top 59%
1.0%
26
Physical Review Research
49 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
0.8%
27
Mathematical Biosciences
49 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.8%
28
eLife
5828 papers in training set
Top 66%
0.8%
29
Evolution
225 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.8%
30
The ISME Journal
228 papers in training set
Top 4%
0.6%