Species responses to nutrient loading promote resistance but not temporal stability in floating macrophyte communities

Determining the drivers of ecological stability amid accelerating global environmental change is a critical goal of contemporary ecology. Various candidate drivers have been suggested, with recent attention turning to response diversity--the variation among organism-environment responses. However, despite conceptual interest in response diversity as a driver of stability, there remain few field tests of this relationship. Using multi-species competitive communities of floating aquatic macrophytes as an experimental model for measuring temporal stability and response diversity to nutrient loading, we show that response diversity does not promote temporal stability of total macrophyte cover, but that communities with an uneven distribution of species responses were more resistant to an exogenous shock. To quantify macrophyte composition and growth dynamics from photographic time series of our experimental communities, we developed an open-source, scalable, machine learning workflow (LeafMosaic) capable of classifying four species from noisy field data including variable lighting, resolution, and plant morphology. We measured response diversity as the balance of positive and negative biomass growth responses to dissolved nitrate concentration, weighted by species relative contributions to biomass, and tested its effect on temporal stability and resistance to an unexpected pulse disturbance (a large typhoon that disrupted our outdoor mesocosms). Response imbalance predicted typhoon resistance, but species asynchrony and mean population stability best predicted community stability, with no direct or indirect effect of species responses. Overall, our results provide new experimental evidence for how the structure of species responses promotes stability, and we aim our LeafMosaic workflow to empower future field experiments using floating macrophytes to study response diversity and ecological stability.