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Viral impacts on plankton standing stocks, primary productivity, and biogeochemistry in a model ocean

Fremont, P.; Beckett, S. J.; Muratore, D.; Demory, D.; Carr, E.; Jahn, O.; Follett, C. L.; Talmy, D.; Lindell, D.; Weitz, J. S.; Dutkiewicz, S.

2026-05-29 ecology
10.64898/2026.05.27.728272 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Viral lysis fuels the microbial loop by enhancing organic matter recycling (via the viral shunt) and can redirect organic matter toward export (via the viral shuttle). However, the global impact of viral infection mediated by shunt and shuttle pathways remains unclear. Here, we implemented viral infection and lysis processes in a global ocean ecosystem model, including a single phytoplankton (representing Prochlorococcus), virus (representing cyanophage), and nanozooplankton. Despite low but plausible levels of viral infection, high shunt efficiencies generated enhanced-productivity regions covering up to approximately one-half of the global ocean. For lower viral shunt efficiencies, the enhanced-productivity regions contracted abruptly, accompanied by steady declines in productivity. Viral-mediated increases in primary productivity reduced the extent of tropical oligotrophic regions at high shunt efficiencies, while lower efficiencies expanded oligotrophic areas. These results provide a path forward to developing predictive models of how viral infection and the fate of cellular lysates shape global ocean ecosystems.

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