Thermal Discomfort and In-vitro Fertilization Treatment Outcomes

Background: Literature on the role of thermal discomfort (heat- and cold-stress) on in-vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes are scarce and inconclusive. This multi-center research examines association between heat stress and IVF treatment outcomes in Andhra Pradesh, which is prone to year around chronic heat stress. Methods: IVF data were abstracted from clinical chart review of all patients from three IVF from centers 2019 to 2023, which included time-stamped data on each IVF procedure, demographics and pre-existing comorbidities. Weather data were acquired from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). IVF outcomes were modelled with respect to time-lagged exposure to ambient temperature stratified by hyper- and hypo-thermic conditions using Poisson and logistic regressions depending on the scale of IVF outcomes adjusting for confounders. Results: Heat stress peaked in June, which corresponded with elevated number of spontaneous abortions/miscarriage (SAM). Under hypo- and hyper-thermic conditions a unit increase ambient temperature was associated with an 11% higher and an 8% lower number of oocytes retrieved, respectively. Adjusting for confounders, a 10 degree F increase in two-day lag heat stress was associated with a 30% higher odds of SAM (odds ratio ~ 1.03; 95% CI = 1.001 to 1.068; p-value < 0.043), and odds of PTB were 3 times higher when three day-lagged heat index (HI) was greater than 35 degree C (odds ratio 1.13 to 7.99; p < 0.05). Conclusion. Our findings warrant strategies to engage IVF patients in mitigating their exposure to thermal discomfort before and during the treatment.