Prognostic Impact of Early Lactate Trajectory Among Patients Admitted with Cardiogenic Shock

Background: The importance of lactate trajectory during the first day of cardiogenic shock is increasingly recognized. We aimed to assess the association between admission-day lactate trajectory and in-hospital mortality, and to identify same-day interventions predictive of lactate clearance. Methods: We analyzed adult patients admitted with cardiogenic shock between October 2015 and June 2023, using the Vizient(R) Clinical Data Base. Early lactate clearance was defined as lactate <2.5 mmol/L by the end of the admission day. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the association between lactate change and in-hospital mortality, and to identify interventions associated with lactate clearance. Results: Among 40,434 patients with cardiogenic shock, 30.1% achieved same-day lactate normalization, which was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (aOR 0.51; 95% CI 0.48-0.54). Lactate change showed the greatest prognostic importance, with observed mortality exceeding 80% among those with lactate increase >5 mmol/L regardless of baseline values. After adjustment, lactate change showed a positive exponential relationship with mortality, with aORs ranging from 0.25 (95% CI 0.23-0.27) for a -10 mmol/L change to 3.99 (95% CI 3.58-4.40) for a +10 mmol/L change. The intervention most strongly associated with early lactate clearance was pulmonary artery catheter (PAC; aOR 1.28 [95% CI 1.19-1.37]). Conclusions: Nearly 1 in 3 patients with cardiogenic shock achieved early lactate clearance, which was associated with lower mortality. The magnitude of lactate change had profound prognostic implications regardless of the initial value. Among day 1 interventions, PAC use had the strongest association with lactate clearance.