Benchmarking Boltz-2 for Screening of Therapeutic Antibody-Antigen Interactions

Protein structure prediction models (such as AlphaFold, Chai, Boltz) have transformed structural biology and are increasingly explored for drug discovery; however, their utility for large-scale screening of antibody-antigen (AB-AG) interactions remains unclear, particularly for distinguishing true binding from non-binding pairs at scale. To our knowledge, there has not been an exhaustive exploration of Boltz-2 inference settings on this high impact problem, and in this paper we set out to describe and implement a novel benchmarking framework that can accelerate progress in the field. We evaluated Boltz-2 (NVIDIA NIM implementation) on 519 therapeutic monoclonal antibodies from Thera-SAbDab, pairing each antibody with its cognate target and a randomly assigned non-cognate antigen. We developed a novel evaluation framework that systematically captures variability across stochastic seeds while benchmarking different inference settings, including datasets with and without crystallographically resolved antibody structures. Across settings, Boltz-2-derived confidence metrics showed weak, though above-chance, discrimination (0.5 < ROC-AUC < 0.60). Among evaluated metrics, the minimum value of the interface predicted TM-score (ipTM-min) across seed-samples, captured the strongest signal. Interestingly, additional feature aggregation and multivariate modelling provided little to no improvement. Increasing the number of stochastic predictions yielded front-loaded gains, with diminishing returns beyond [~]15-20 seed-samples, suggesting limited value of extensive sampling in practical workflows. Notably, inference without multiple sequence alignments (MSAs) slightly improved performance on non-crystallized antibodies ({Delta}AUROC {approx} +0.027) while reducing runtime by [~]8 seconds per prediction compared to shallow MSA settings. Overall, these results indicate that off-the-shelf confidence metrics from general-purpose structure prediction models may be insufficient for reliable target-antibody screening and highlight the need for task-specific optimization, while confirming that modest amounts of sampling can be helpful, but not in itself sufficient to improve performance significantly as gains plateau relatively quickly.