Anticipated Loss of Action Consequences Disrupts Motor Execution in Skilled Basketball Shooting

Internal forward models predict the sensory consequences of motor commands; however, whether the anticipated availability of post-action feedback contributes to the precision of the action itself remains unknown. We manipulated the predictability of post-release visual occlusion in skilled basketball players. Participants performed three-point shots while wearing liquid-crystal shutter goggles. The study tested three conditions: a no-occlusion baseline, certain-occlusion condition in which players knew that their vision would be occluded at ball release in every trial, and random-occlusion condition in which they could not predict whether an occlusion would occur. Shooting accuracy declined in the certain-occlusion condition relative to the no-occlusion condition (49.2% vs 41.7%). The random-occlusion condition did not differ from the baseline (46.1%). Within the random condition, the accuracy in occluded trials were virtually identical to that in non-occluded trials (46.6% vs 46.2%), even though the immediate visual occlusion was the same as in the certain-occlusion condition. These results demonstrate that it is not the absence of post-action information per se that disrupts motor execution, but the prior certainty that action consequences will be unavailable. We interpret this finding as a prospective influence of anticipated consequence loss, whereby motor execution depends on whether the prediction-outcome loop remains closable.