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Epigenetic inflammation signatures and lung cancer risk among never-smoking women: a nested case-control study

Rahman, M. L.; Gargapati, A.; Hurwitz, L. M.; Hu, W.; Keil, A. P.; Breeze, C. E.; Chaturvedi, A.; Shi, J.; Cai, Q.; Yang, G.; Long, J.; Gao, Y.-t.; Christiani, D. C.; Rothman, N.; Zheng, W.; Shu, X.-O.; Wong, J. Y. Y.; Lan, Q.

2026-04-29 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.04.27.26351864 medRxiv
Show abstract

IntroductionChronic inflammation has been implicated in lung carcinogenesis. Prospective studies have linked higher circulating C-reactive protein (CRP), an acute-phase inflammation marker, to higher lung cancer risk in predominantly smoking populations but lower risk in never smokers. We evaluated DNA methylation-based inflammation risk scores (DNAm-IRSs), which may capture longer-term immune-inflammatory and exposure-related biology, with lung cancer risk among never smokers. MethodsWe evaluated six DNAm-IRSs, including four CRP-based scores (IRSLigthart, IRSWielscher, IRSLinear_Hillary, IRSElnet_Hillary), in 683 risk-set-sampled case-control pairs nested in the Shanghai Womens Health Study (n=74,941). We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using conditional logistic regression. We examined DNAm-derived leukocyte composition and circulating immune-inflammatory proteins to characterize DNAm-IRS biology. ResultsCirculating CRP correlated positively with IRSLigthart (r=0.19), IRSWielscher (r=0.13), and IRSElnet_Hillary (r=0.30), but inversely with IRSLinear_Hillary (r=-0.02). Per standard deviation increase, IRSLigthart was associated with lower lung cancer risk (HR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.76-0.95), and IRSWielscher with lower risks of lung cancer (HR=0.87, 95% CI: 0.77-0.97) and adenocarcinoma (HR=0.83, 95% CI: 0.71-0.97). Associations persisted after adjustment for leukocyte composition and strengthened after adjustment for DNAm pack-years, an epigenetic smoking index that may capture combustion-related exposures beyond active smoking. Inverse associations were more evident among women with lower DNAm pack-years, although formal interaction tests were not statistically significant. Both scores were positively associated with acute-phase inflammation, IFN-{gamma}/effector trafficking, and higher CD8+ T-cell proportions. ConclusionsAmong never smokers, selected CRP-related DNAm-IRSs were associated with lower lung cancer risk and were linked to immune features consistent with antitumor activity.

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