Back

Leveraging archaeological specimens to investigate failed invasions: A case study on Okhotsk pigs, northern Japan

Tsutaya, T.; Hattori, T.; Onishi, R.; Budd, C. E.; Minoshima, H.; Takahashi, T.; Hirasawa, Y.; Chiku, S.; Omori, T.; Yamazaki, K.; Yoneda, M.; Kubo, D.; Ishida, H.; Sato, T.; Schulting, R. J.; Kato, H.; Weber, A. W.

2026-04-26 ecology
10.64898/2026.04.22.720108 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Invasive species pose a major threat to biodiversity, yet our understanding of failed invasions/translocations, instances where alien/introduced species fail to establish, remains limited. Investigating the factors behind failed invasions is critical for improving prevention and management strategies for modern biological invasions. Here, we propose a novel framework that utilizes archaeological archives to uncover evidence of failed invasions. We estimated the biological and ecological factors contributing to the failed invasion of pigs from later prehistory to recent times (299 cal BC to 1900 AD) on Rebun Island in far northern Japan by synthesizing the evidence obtained from stable isotopes, zooarchaeology, and historical documents. Despite the anthropogenic introductions of pigs into Rebun Island, pigs did not establish a feral population and disappeared after ca. 1200 AD. We identified reduced propagule pressure, abiotic resistance due to the cold climate, and decreased resources as the three key factors that contributed to the disappearance of pigs. Pigs are one of the most widespread invasive species globally, and this study represents a novel approach to studying failed invasions using archaeological data, which aligns with the framework of conservation paleobiology.

Matching journals

The top 5 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
PLOS ONE
4510 papers in training set
Top 11%
17.3%
2
Science of The Total Environment
179 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
12.2%
3
eLife
5422 papers in training set
Top 4%
12.2%
4
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
60 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
6.7%
5
Scientific Reports
3102 papers in training set
Top 19%
6.3%
50% of probability mass above
6
Global Ecology and Conservation
25 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
3.9%
7
Communications Earth & Environment
14 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
3.5%
8
Communications Biology
886 papers in training set
Top 5%
2.1%
9
PeerJ
261 papers in training set
Top 7%
1.7%
10
BMC Ecology and Evolution
49 papers in training set
Top 1%
1.5%
11
Ecology and Evolution
232 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.5%
12
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B
51 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.3%
13
American Journal of Biological Anthropology
11 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.3%
14
Nature Ecology & Evolution
113 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.2%
15
Journal of Systematics and Evolution
11 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.2%
16
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
341 papers in training set
Top 5%
0.9%
17
Frontiers in Genetics
197 papers in training set
Top 8%
0.9%
18
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2130 papers in training set
Top 42%
0.9%
19
Water Research
74 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.7%
20
Molecular Ecology
304 papers in training set
Top 4%
0.7%
21
Science
429 papers in training set
Top 20%
0.7%
22
Science Advances
1098 papers in training set
Top 31%
0.7%
23
Genes
126 papers in training set
Top 3%
0.7%
24
Life
27 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
0.7%
25
Oecologia
23 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
0.7%
26
Clinical Infectious Diseases
231 papers in training set
Top 5%
0.7%
27
Journal of Medical Virology
137 papers in training set
Top 4%
0.7%
28
Forensic Science International: Genetics
24 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
0.7%
29
Science China Life Sciences
26 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.7%
30
Nature Communications
4913 papers in training set
Top 65%
0.7%