Neonatal Resting-State Functional Connectivity Predicts Socioemotional and Behavioral Outcomes at 18 Months

Early behavioral and temperamental differences are important indicators of later socioemotional development and psychopathology risk, yet their neural bases near birth remain incompletely understood. Using resting-state fMRI data from the Developing Human Connectome Project, we examined whether neonatal functional connectivity predicts 18-month behavioral and temperament outcomes in 397 infants (277 term-born, 120 preterm-born). Outcomes were assessed using the Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL) and the Early Childhood Behavior Questionnaire (ECBQ). We applied a stability-driven, ROI-constrained connectome-based predictive modeling framework to identify robust whole-brain connectivity features associated with later externalizing, internalizing, surgency, negative affect, and effortful control. Significant predictive models were observed for multiple outcomes across the whole cohort as well as within term-born and preterm-born groups, with clear differences in predictive architecture between cohorts. Across analyses, prefrontal and temporoparietal systems were repeatedly implicated, alongside medial temporal, fusiform, parahippocampal, and orbitofrontal-related regions. These findings indicate that large-scale neonatal functional organization is meaningfully related to later socioemotional and behavioral variation, and that preterm birth is associated with partly distinct predictive connectivity patterns.