Semaglutide is associated with stiffness improvement and broad liver benefits with distinct dose- and weight-linked patterns

Semaglutide has shown benefit in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), but real-world evidence across longitudinal liver phenotypes remains limited, particularly regarding how liver remodeling relates to weight loss and dose exposure. Using a de-identified federated electronic health record network spanning more than 29 million patients in the United States, including 489,785 semaglutide-treated adults, we analyzed 6,734 patients with baseline liver disease burden. We find that higher attained pre-landmark (0-2 years) semaglutide dose was associated with lower post-landmark (2-4 years) risk of steatohepatitis, alcoholic liver disease, and all-cause mortality, whereas greater pre-landmark weight loss was associated with lower post-landmark risk of steatohepatitis, steatotic liver disease, and hepatorenal syndrome, indicating distinct dose- and weight-linked patterns of long-term liver benefits. These associations were notable because semaglutide prescribing was generally lower during the post-landmark period, raising the possibility of durable benefit beyond peak exposure. Towards better understanding mechanistic bases for liver protection, we performed a complementary longitudinal study of 326 adults with paired noninvasive liver elastography measurements before and after treatment initiation. Median liver stiffness decreased from 4.85 [3.02 - 7.20] to 3.9 [2.6 - 5.8] kPa after semaglutide initiation (median change = -0.38 kPa; p<0.001), with 194 of 326 patients (59.5%) showing lower follow-up stiffness. A clinically meaningful reduction of at least 20% was observed in 133 of 326 patients (40.8%), and 69 of 326 (21.2%) shifted to a lower fibrosis stage by prespecified elastography thresholds. Larger improvements were also seen in patients with higher baseline stiffness (p<0.001); notably 80% of patients with cirrhosis-range baseline stiffness ([&ge;]12.5 kPa) achieved [&ge;]20% improvement versus 29.5% with minimal baseline disease (p <0.001). The proportion achieving at least 20% stiffness improvement was similar across weight-loss strata, including patients with no weight loss or weight gain and those with at least 10% weight loss (38.0% in each group), and liver stiffness change showed negligible correlation with changes in weight, BMI, HBA1c, alanine aminotransferase, or aspartate aminotransferase. To provide biological context, single cell RNA analyses demonstrated sparse overall hepatic GLP1R expression (0.0239%), with enrichment in non-parenchymal niches including cholangiocytes, intrahepatic cholangiocytes, liver sinusoidal endothelial cells, and hepatic stellate cells implicated in fibrogenesis and vascular remodeling. Together, this real-world evidence suggests diverse liver benefits for semaglutide beyond weight-loss with intricate dose response relationships.