The Cartilage Thickness Score (CTh-Score) detects a structural effect of 2-year weight loss in individuals with and without radiographic osteoarthritis: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Purpose To determine whether clinically significant weight loss (>5% of body weight) is associated with slower 2-year knee cartilage degeneration in individuals with and without radiographic osteoarthritis. This study used a cartilage structural assessment score derived from the spatial distribution of cartilage thickness, referred to as the Cartilage Thickness Score (CTh-Score). It is based on cartilage thickness patterns and scores the cartilage between 0 and 100, with higher scores indicating greater severity. Methods We conducted a retrospective matched cohort study within the Osteoarthritis Initiative. High-resolution cartilage thickness maps (CTh-Maps), along with their corresponding CTh-Score, were extracted from a public repository. Participants with complete radiographic and MRI data at baseline and 24 months were stratified by baseline Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade into non-radiographic OA (non-ROA; KL<2) and radiographic OA (ROA; KL>=2). Within strata, cases (>5% 2-year weight loss) were propensity score-matched 1:2 to weight-stable controls on age, sex, height, weight, KL grade, joint space width (JSW), KOOS Pain, baseline CTh-Score, and mean cartilage thickness in the medial and lateral femoral and tibial compartments. The primary outcome was 2-year change (delta) in CTh-Score, where higher values indicate worsening. Secondary outcomes were delta JSW, delta regional mean cartilage thickness, and delta KOOS Pain. Non-parametric tests were used. Results We included 164 cases and 328 controls in non-ROA, and 266 cases and 532 controls in ROA. Median (interquartile range) weight loss was -6.10 kg (-8.90, -4.70) versus +0.30 kg (-1.30, 2.20) in non-ROA and -6.80 kg (-9.10, -5.02) versus +0.40 kg (-1.40, 2.82) in ROA (both p<0.001). Weight loss was associated with significantly smaller 2-year increases in CTh-Score: in non-ROA, median 1.58 (0.61, 6.53) vs 3.14 (0.44, 7.12) (p=0.005); in ROA, median 1.69 (0.97, 6.71) vs 2.90 (0.19, 7.38) (p=0.004). No between-group differences were detected for delta JSW or delta regional mean cartilage thickness in any of the 4 ROIs. A trend toward greater KOOS Pain improvement with weight loss was observed in ROA: 2.75 (-3.35, 13.40) vs 0.00 (-5.60, 8.40) (p=0.06). Conclusions Achieving >5% weight loss over 2 years is associated with approximately 50% lower progression in median cartilage degeneration, as assessed by CTh-Score, in both non-ROA and ROA. No change was observed with conventional structural metrics. These findings support weight management as a structural disease-modifying strategy and highlight CTh-Score as a sensitive endpoint.