Mapping Individual Neuroanatomical Alterations to Schizophrenia Psychopathology with Normative Modeling

Schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSDs) are clinically and neurobiologically heterogeneous. Normative modeling addresses heterogeneity of structural brain alterations by focusing on individual-level deviations, but their clinical relevance in SSDs remains controversial. We mapped the relationship between individual gray matter volume (GMV) deviations and schizophrenia diagnosis and symptoms. Normative models of GMV were established using cross-sectional, T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging data from a large, multi-site, healthy reference cohort (N = 7957). Deviations were derived for SSD patients (n = 379) and healthy controls (n =149). Patients showed a significantly more negative average deviation compared to controls and regional deviations predicted diagnostic status with adequate performance (AUC = 0.79). A more negative deviation was associated with higher symptom severity and lower cognitive functioning in SSD. Negative deviations were scattered across the brain, with the largest alterations in the salience network. Our findings strengthen the potential of normative modeling to disentangle the heterogeneous underpinnings of SSD and provide further evidence for individualized structural deviations, particularly in the salience network, as promising markers of illness severity in SSDs.