To comprehensively evaluate the evolution of global childhood and adolescent asthma (ages 0-19) disease burden from 1990-2023, explore spatiotemporal patterns, influencing factors, health equity, and predict future trends.

Methods: Using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data, we analyzed prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates across global and 21 GBD regions from 1990-2023. Joinpoint regression identified temporal trends, age-period-cohort models analyzed effect contributions, Das Gupta decomposition quantified demographic and epidemiological impacts, inequality indices assessed health equity, and Bayesian models projected 2024-2038 trends. Results: In 2023, the global number of children and adolescents with asthma reached 131 million, with an age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of 1,789.9 per 100,000. From 1990 to 2023, the global ASPR and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of asthma in children and adolescents showed an upward trend, while the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) exhibited a downward trend. Among the 0-14 age group, the disease burden was greater in males than in females, whereas in the 15-19 age group, males had a lower disease burden than females. Projections indicate that over the next 15 years, the overall disease burden will continue to decline; however, female mortality rates and DALYs rates are projected to show an upward trend. Conclusions: The increasing prevalence and incidence rates, coupled with declining mortality and DALYs rates of asthma among children and adolescents globally, underscore the necessity for targeted public health interventions. These findings provide crucial insights for early diagnosis, treatment optimization, and global health policy formulation.