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Area-Level Economic Opportunity Modifies the Income-Health Gradient in the United States

Mishra, A.; O'Brien, R.; Venkataramani, A. S.

2026-03-30 health economics
10.64898/2026.03.27.26349545 medRxiv
Show abstract

Introduction: Economic opportunity is a core pillar of the American Dream but is not distributed equally across communities. Substantial evidence has identified economic opportunity as an independent social determinant of health, but relatively little is known about opportunity's relationship with other socioeconomic characteristics such as income. Here we address this gap in the literature to examine how area-level economic opportunity modifies the income-health gradient. Methods: We used multivariable ordinary least squares models to estimate the association between self-reported health and economic opportunity across household income levels for working age adults (ages 25-64). Our measures of income and health come from the 2010-2019 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplements. Our measure of economic opportunity was drawn from Opportunity Insights and represents the county-averaged national income percentile rank attained in adulthood for individuals born to parents at the 25th percentile of the income distribution. We adjusted for a wide range of individual- and county-level demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. Results: We find that county-level economic opportunity modified the gradient in self-reported health and household income among working-age adults. Effects were particularly pronounced in the lowest income deciles -- an interdecile increase in economic opportunity was associated with closing almost 33% of the gap in health between the lowest and highest income deciles. The results were robust to sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: We show that local area economic opportunity flattens the relationship between household income and health, with lower-income individuals benefitting the most from living in high opportunity areas.

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