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Thyroid Autoimmunity Does Not Delineate a Cardiometabolic or Androgenic Phenotype in Women With Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: A Pre-Specified Cross-Sectional Analysis

Piorkowska, N. J.; Madeyski, L.; Lesniewski, M.; Franik, G.; Bizon, A.

2026-03-18 endocrinology
10.64898/2026.03.17.26348579 medRxiv
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BackgroundThyroid autoimmunity (TAI) is frequently reported in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), yet its clinical relevance for cardiometabolic and androgenic severity remains uncertain. We evaluated whether TAI identifies a metabolically or androgenically more severe PCOS phenotype using pre-specified exposure definitions and cardiometabolic endpoints. MethodsThis cross-sectional study included 1,300 women with confirmed PCOS in the source dataset. Thyroid autoimmunity was defined a priori using three definitions: anti-thyroid peroxidase antibodies above the laboratory upper limit of normal (TAI_A, primary definition), anti-TPO positivity combined with thyroid-stimulating hormone >4.0 mIU/L (TAI_B), and high-titer anti-TPO >100 IU/mL (TAI_C). The primary endpoint was triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) >3.5. Secondary endpoints included non-HDL-C [≥]130 mg/dL and 120-minute oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) glucose [≥]140 mg/dL. Associations were assessed using age-adjusted Firth logistic regression models in complete-case cohorts. Sensitivity analyses included restriction to euthyroid participants, alternative TAI definitions, trimming of extreme values (1-99%), and bootstrap-based confidence intervals. Exploratory hormonal comparisons were adjusted using the Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery rate. ResultsTAI_A was not significantly associated with the primary endpoint (TG/HDL >3.5) (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.21-1.67). No significant associations were observed for secondary endpoints including non-HDL-C [≥]130 mg/dL (OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.61-1.76) or impaired glucose tolerance on OGTT (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.63-2.18). Results remained directionally consistent across alternative TAI definitions and sensitivity analyses, including restriction to euthyroid women and trimming of extreme values. In exploratory analyses, thyroid-stimulating hormone levels differed between TAI-positive and TAI-negative women, while no androgenic or cardiometabolic parameters remained significant after false discovery rate correction. Model diagnostics did not indicate major violations of model assumptions. ConclusionIn this large cross-sectional cohort of women with PCOS, thyroid autoimmunity was not associated with an adverse cardiometabolic or androgenic phenotype. Anti-TPO positivity alone therefore does not appear to identify a metabolically high-risk PCOS subgroup under the studied conditions. Prospective studies are needed to clarify the longitudinal implications of thyroid autoimmunity in PCOS.

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