Impact of Glucose Trajectories on Outcomes After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The ATACH-2 trial

BackgroundHyperglycemia after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) may be associated with worse outcomes. In this study, we evaluated the association of early post-ICH glucose trajectories and clinical outcomes. MethodsWe performed a secondary analysis of the ATACH-2 trial dataset. Hyperglycemia was defined as a blood glucose of [&ge;]140 mg/dl. Glucose levels at 0h, 24h, 48h, and 72h were analyzed using a linear mixed effects model, with fixed effects for time and random intercept/slopes. Patient-specific estimates were used to predict glucose values at 0h and 72h, informed by all four timepoints, to classify patients into the following glycemic trajectory groups: (1) early hyperglycemia, (2) late hyperglycemia, (3) persistent hyperglycemia, and (4) persistent normoglycemia. Outcomes were compared using univariate analysis and log-rank test survival analysis. Good outcomes were defined as a modified Rankin Score of 0 to 2. The association between glycemic trajectories and functional outcomes was tested using logistic regression models adjusted for patient demographics and clinical variables. ResultsOf 1000 patients (median age 62 [IQR 52-71]; 38% female) in the study, 81 (8.1%) had early hyperglycemia, 59 (5.9%) late hyperglycemia, 225 (22.5%) persistent hyperglycemia, and 635 (63.5%) persistent normoglycemia. On univariate analysis, 45.8% of patients with persistent normoglycemia had favorable 90-day functional outcomes compared to 30.9% in early, 30.5% in late, and 32.0% in persistent hyperglycemia patients (p<0.001). The late hyperglycemia patients had the highest rate of hematoma expansion (35.3%, p=0.029) and the lowest Kaplan Meier-estimated survival (86%, p=0.015). In adjusted multivariable regression models, early hyperglycemia was significantly associated with a poor functional outcome (OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.10-4.68, p=0.026). ConclusionEarly hyperglycemia was associated with worse functional outcomes, while late and persistent hyperglycemia were associated with worse survival rates. These findings suggest that glycemic trajectories may affect or predict prognosis. This highlights the importance of continuous glucose monitoring and glycemic control strategies after ICH.