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Developing an Early Childhood Environmental Health Vulnerability Index to Assess Cumulative Health Impacts Across Contiguous U.S.

Liu, S.; Yang, A.; Horm, D.; Zhu, M.; Cai, C.

2026-03-11 public and global health
10.64898/2026.03.10.26348087 medRxiv
Show abstract

Young children (from birth to 5 years old) are uniquely vulnerable to environmental hazards due to their higher exposure relative to body weight, rapid physiological and neurological development, and strong reliance on caregivers for protection and care. Such risks are often amplified in marginalized communities with socioeconomic disadvantage and limited access to resources. However, widely used indices, such as the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), the Climate Vulnerability Index (CVI) and the Child Opportunity Index (COI), were not specifically developed for young children and may not capture the combined environmental and socioeconomic risks faced by this age group. To address this critical gap, we developed a county-level Early Childhood Environmental Health Vulnerability Index (EC-EHVI) for the contiguous U.S. using multidimensional indicators within an Exposure-Sensitivity-Adaptive Capacity framework and informed by Bronfenbrenners bioecological model. We identified the underlying drivers and the spatial patterns of the EC-EHVI. Our results showed that the EC-EHVI exhibited the strongest association with county-level young child mortality and explained a larger proportion of spatial heterogeneity compared with the SVI, CVI, and COI. Elevated vulnerability clustered in the Great Plains and Southeastern U.S., where over half of high-risk counties were exposure-driven, and 411 high-high hotspots were identified. The EC-EHVI offers a valuable spatial decision-support tool for designing targeted, place-based interventions and advancing environmental health equity for young children. Plain Language SummaryYoung children (birth to age five) are uniquely vulnerable to environmental hazards. Because their bodies are developing and they consume more air, food, and water relative to their weight, environmental exposures can have severe, lifelong impacts. These risks are often magnified in under-resourced communities. Yet, most existing vulnerability tools were not built with young children in mind, potentially obscuring the combined environmental and social threats they face. To address this gap, we developed a new county-level index to pinpoint where young children are most at risk across the contiguous United States. Our tool integrates data on environmental exposure, community sensitivity, and the resources available to help families cope. When tested, our new index was more strongly linked to young child mortality than several widely used existing measures. We identified major high-risk clusters, particularly in the Great Plains and the Southeastern U.S. This tool can help policymakers and public health officials better target resources and interventions to protect young children and promote environmental health equity. Key PointsO_LIWe developed a county-level Early Childhood Environmental Health Vulnerability Index across the contiguous U.S. C_LIO_LIElevated vulnerability clustered in the Southeast, Great Plains, and Appalachia, with additional hotspots in Michigan and Maine. C_LIO_LIMore than half of high-vulnerability counties were exposure-driven, emphasizing the key role of environmental hazards in child health. C_LI

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