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Cost-effectiveness of recombinant influenza vaccine compared with standard-dose influenza vaccine among adults 50 years of age and older in Hong Kong

Zhong, S.; Wong, I. O. L.; Wu, P.; Cowling, B. J.

2026-03-09 health economics
10.64898/2026.03.07.26347845 medRxiv
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BackgroundOlder adults face a disproportionately high risk of severe influenza, yet the standard inactivated vaccine (IIV) offers suboptimal protection in this population. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of replacing IIV with the recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV) for adults aged [≥]50, [≥]65, and [≥]80 years in Hong Kong. MethodsA decision tree model was used to compare RIV with IIV for adults aged [≥]50, [≥]65, and [≥]80 years in Hong Kong, from a societal perspective. Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were evaluated with the impact of parameter uncertainty on the results assessed via deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. ResultsFor adults [≥]50 years, RIV increased total costs by USD5.1 (HKD39.8) per person and gained 0.00012 QALYs (ICER: USD40,659 [HKD317,140] per QALY) compared to IIV. Among adults [≥]65 years, RIV cost USD6.0 (HKD46.8) more and gained 0.00021 QALYs (ICER: USD29,077 [HKD226,801] per QALY). For adults [≥]80 years, RIV cost USD3.2 (HKD25.0) more and gained 0.00015 QALYs (ICER: USD21,092 [HKD164,518] per QALY). ICERs were less than willingness-to-pay thresholds of one to three times Hong Kongs gross domestic product per capita. ConclusionsRIV is cost-effective compared with IIV for adults [≥]50, [≥]65, and [≥]80 years in Hong Kong, with the lowest ICER observed in individuals [≥]80 years.

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