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Modeling the within-host dynamics of S. mansoni: The consequences of treatment frequency and inconsistent efficacy for disease control

Anderson, L.; Wearing, H.

2026-03-02 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.02.26.26347231 medRxiv
Show abstract

Schistosomiasis is a neglected parasitic disease caused by various trematode species of the genus Schistosoma for which 251 million people needed treatment in 2021. Many mathematical models of Schistosoma mansoni transmission incorporate the effect of chemoprophylaxis on parasite burden within the human host. While praziquantel is the most commonly implemented pharmaceutical used to control schistosomiasis, due to its applicability over several species and its negligible side effects, it is not very effective against juvenile schistosomes in humans. This limited efficacy on the juvenile life-stage of the parasite may be an important factor in the persistence of the disease. The demographic consequences of praziquantel use on schistosome population age and sex composition within the human host may obfuscate the effectiveness of these chemoprophylactic control strategies. Furthermore, the effectiveness of this treatment is heavily dependent on the force of infection to humans and the frequency at which these pharmaceuticals are administered. Using a stochastic mechanistic model, we investigated the effects of inconsistent drug efficacy among parasite life stages, varying parasite population structure within the human host, and alternative treatment regimes to the prevailing once-yearly strategy. This allowed us to identify the reduction in infection prevalence under differing infection risk scenarios, parasite population structures at the time of treatment, and treatment schedules. Our results indicate that if elimination is the goal, then widespread (>75% of the population) treatment should be the target and that more frequent treatment schedules are useful up to several treatments a year.

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