Back

A unifying functional dichotomy organises breast cancer molecular landscape, resolves PIK3CA ambiguity, and supports tiered tumour classification

Gupta, A.; Muthuswami, M.

2026-03-02 oncology
10.64898/2026.02.22.26346715 medRxiv
Show abstract

Clinical interpretation of breast cancer sequencing is constrained not by a lack of data but by the absence of an organising framework that translates constellations of co-occurring mutations and copy-number alterations into tumour-level biology with prognostic and therapeutic meaning. This challenge is exemplified by PIK3CA, a clinically actionable alteration often treated as a single-label biomarker despite context-dependent associations with outcome. We analysed >5,000 breast tumours across multiple cohorts using integrated multi-omics (somatic mutations, copy-number, transcriptomic, proteomic and phosphoproteomic profiles) and quantified the directionality of downstream molecular consequences of recurrent alterations relative to TP53-associated trends to infer dominant tumour programmes. This revealed a robust functional organisation comprising (i) a canonical proliferative/replicative programme, enriched for cell-cycle, DNA replication and E2F signalling, and encompassing TP53 mutations and most recurrent CNAs, and (ii) a non-canonical signalling/cell-state programme marked by recurrent mutations including PIK3CA, CDH1, GATA3, MAP3K1 and AKT1, with opposing transcriptomic/proteomic directionality, comparatively lower proliferative output and a systematic tendency towards mutual exclusivity with TP53, consistent with alternative evolutionary routes. To operationalise these findings for clinical use, we developed T-OMICS (Tiered OMICS Classification System), which layers complementary readouts to deliver a single interpretable tumour profile: Tier 1 provides a continuous genomic-risk backbone via a DNA-anchored prognostic RNA signature capturing canonical proliferative/replicative output; Tier 2 assigns programme identity based on the dominant genomic context; Tier 3 quantifies within-programme activity along a continuum; and Tier 4 overlays non-redundant modifier mutations that refine phenotype, vulnerabilities and resistance liabilities, supported by orthogonal proteomic/phosphoproteomic pathway signals. In ER+/HER2- disease, T-OMICS resolves the prognostic ambiguity of PIK3CA by showing that "PIK3CA-mutant" is not a single biological entity: in a predominant low-genomic-score context, PIK3CA aligns with buffered luminal biology and favourable outcomes, whereas in high-score contexts--conditioned by TP53 background and modifier events--PIK3CA can mark adverse biology with distinct dependencies not captured by proliferation-centric readouts; notably, low-score PIK3CA tumours with CDH1 co-mutation shift to significantly worse outcomes. Together, these results establish a programme- and state-aware framework that converts sequencing reports into clinically legible tumour biology to support risk calibration, therapeutic prioritisation and evolution-aware sampling decisions from early-stage through metastatic ER+/HER2- breast cancer. Lay SummaryBreast cancer tumours often carry many genetic changes at the same time. While modern sequencing can identify these changes in detail, the results are frequently presented as long lists of mutations and DNA alterations that are difficult to interpret in terms of how a tumour behaves or how it should be treated. A well-known example is the PIK3CA gene: although it can be targeted with specific drugs, studies have reported mixed results on whether PIK3CA mutations are associated with better or worse outcomes, making it challenging to use this information confidently in clinical care. To address this problem, we analysed genomic (DNA-wide), RNA, and protein data from more than 5,000 breast tumours. We found that many common genomic changes cluster into two main biological "programmes" that reflect distinct ways tumours grow and survive. One programme is driven by rapid cell division and DNA replication and includes TP53 mutations and many common DNA copy-number changes; tumours following this programme tend to be more aggressive. The second programme is less focused on rapid growth and is defined by mutations such as PIK3CA, CDH1, GATA3, MAP3K1, and AKT1, which influence signalling and cell identity rather than directly accelerating proliferation. These programmes reflect broader tumour behaviours rather than the effects of single genes. Importantly, mutations in the second programme are usually not found alongside TP53 mutations, suggesting that breast cancers can develop through distinct biological routes--with some tumours following an alternative pathway (not overtly proliferation-dependent) that shapes their behaviour and may influence which treatments are most appropriate. Based on these findings, we developed a practical classification system, T-OMICS, for ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. T-OMICS summarises which biological programme a tumour follows, how active or aggressive it is within that programme, and whether additional mutations are present that may influence treatment response or resistance. Using this framework, we show that PIK3CA mutations most often occur in a biologically buffered context associated with more favourable outcomes, but when they occur in more aggressive tumours--shaped by other key genetic changes--they can signal a higher-risk disease with different treatment needs. These findings indicate that treatment decisions should be based on the tumours overall biological pattern, not just the presence of a single mutation. By placing sequencing results in this broader context, T-OMICS supports more accurate risk assessment, better treatment planning, and more informed decisions about when to intensify therapy, from early-stage through advanced breast cancer. O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=134 SRC="FIGDIR/small/26346715v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (38K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@18ae796org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@6a641dorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@d2be98org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1df1074_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG O_FLOATNOGraphical SummaryC_FLOATNO C_FIG

Matching journals

The top 9 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
Breast Cancer Research
32 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
14.3%
2
Nature Communications
4913 papers in training set
Top 22%
8.4%
3
Clinical Cancer Research
58 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
4.8%
4
Cell Genomics
162 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
4.8%
5
Nature
575 papers in training set
Top 5%
4.8%
6
eLife
5422 papers in training set
Top 22%
3.9%
7
Cancer Research
116 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
3.6%
8
Cancer Cell
38 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
3.6%
9
Nature Genetics
240 papers in training set
Top 2%
3.6%
50% of probability mass above
10
Cell Reports Medicine
140 papers in training set
Top 1%
3.6%
11
PLOS Computational Biology
1633 papers in training set
Top 11%
3.1%
12
npj Breast Cancer
18 papers in training set
Top 0.1%
2.7%
13
Cell Systems
167 papers in training set
Top 5%
2.4%
14
iScience
1063 papers in training set
Top 9%
2.3%
15
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2130 papers in training set
Top 26%
2.3%
16
Nature Cancer
35 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
2.1%
17
EMBO Molecular Medicine
85 papers in training set
Top 1%
2.1%
18
Cancer Discovery
61 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
2.1%
19
Science Advances
1098 papers in training set
Top 20%
1.5%
20
Annals of Oncology
13 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
1.3%
21
Cell Reports
1338 papers in training set
Top 28%
1.2%
22
Communications Medicine
85 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
1.1%
23
Scientific Reports
3102 papers in training set
Top 69%
0.9%
24
Nature Medicine
117 papers in training set
Top 4%
0.9%
25
European Journal of Cancer
10 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
0.9%
26
JNCI Cancer Spectrum
10 papers in training set
Top 0.5%
0.8%
27
Science
429 papers in training set
Top 20%
0.7%
28
Cancers
200 papers in training set
Top 5%
0.7%
29
PLOS ONE
4510 papers in training set
Top 70%
0.7%
30
Developmental Cell
168 papers in training set
Top 13%
0.6%