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Use of serology to assess the probability of public health action needed for trachoma in coastal Ecuador

Kamau, E.; Simbana Vivanco, L.; Torres Ayala, S.; Walas, N.; Cooley, G.; Coleman, C.; Goodhew, E. B.; Martin, D. L.; Burroughs, H.; Calvopina, M.; Cevallos, W.; Vivero, S.; Nipaz, V.; Coloma, J.; Lee, G. O.; Trueba, G.; Eisenberg, J. N. S.; Levy, K.; Arnold, B. F.

2026-02-19 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.02.18.26346552 medRxiv
Show abstract

We evaluated the probability of need for public health action against trachoma in Esmeraldas province, Ecuador. Compared to global references, seroconversion rates to Chlamydia trachomatis Pgp3 in children suggest high probability of action needed in rural villages (91%) and lower in more urban areas (32%), motivating further trachoma assessment.

Matching journals

The top 5 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
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The Journal of Infectious Diseases
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Top 0.6%
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4.7%
7
PLOS ONE
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Top 35%
3.3%
8
PLOS Medicine
● 110 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
3.1%
9
Epidemiology and Infection
◐ 89 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
2.1%
10
Nature Communications
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Top 46%
1.7%
11
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Top 3%
1.6%
12
Tropical Medicine & International Health
○ 14 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
1.5%
13
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● 68 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
1.5%
14
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Top 0.5%
1.3%
15
BMC Public Health
○ 158 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.1%
16
BMC Infectious Diseases
○ 133 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.1%
17
BMJ Global Health
● 113 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.1%
18
eLife
● 5828 papers in training set
Top 61%
1.1%
19
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Top 1%
1.0%
20
Journal of Global Health
● 21 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
1.0%
21
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
○ 129 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.0%
22
Scientific Reports
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Top 74%
0.8%
23
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
○ 22 papers in training set
Top 0.7%
0.8%
24
Eurosurveillance
● 83 papers in training set
Top 1.0%
0.8%
25
The Lancet Global Health
○ 27 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
0.8%
26
The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific
○ 15 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
0.8%
27
International Journal of Epidemiology
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Top 2%
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28
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"Similar papers" are the closest papers from that journal in the model's embedding space. They show what the match is built on, but the ranking comes mostly from a classifier over the whole training set, not from these examples alone.