Back

Use of serology to assess the probability of public health action needed for trachoma in coastal Ecuador

Kamau, E.; Simbana Vivanco, L.; Torres Ayala, S.; Walas, N.; Cooley, G.; Coleman, C.; Goodhew, E. B.; Martin, D. L.; Burroughs, H.; Calvopina, M.; Cevallos, W.; Vivero, S.; Nipaz, V.; Coloma, J.; Lee, G. O.; Trueba, G.; Eisenberg, J. N. S.; Levy, K.; Arnold, B. F.

2026-02-19 epidemiology
10.64898/2026.02.18.26346552 medRxiv
Show abstract

We evaluated the probability of need for public health action against trachoma in Esmeraldas province, Ecuador. Compared to global references, seroconversion rates to Chlamydia trachomatis Pgp3 in children suggest high probability of action needed in rural villages (91%) and lower in more urban areas (32%), motivating further trachoma assessment.

Matching journals

The top 7 journals account for 50% of the predicted probability mass.

1
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
378 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
18.2%
2
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
60 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
14.0%
3
PLOS ONE
4510 papers in training set
Top 23%
8.2%
4
Epidemiology and Infection
84 papers in training set
Top 0.4%
4.2%
5
Scientific Reports
3102 papers in training set
Top 43%
2.8%
6
PLOS Global Public Health
293 papers in training set
Top 3%
2.5%
7
Emerging Infectious Diseases
103 papers in training set
Top 1%
2.0%
50% of probability mass above
8
Sexually Transmitted Infections
21 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.8%
9
Frontiers in Public Health
140 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.7%
10
Frontiers in Medicine
113 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.7%
11
Eurosurveillance
80 papers in training set
Top 0.8%
1.7%
12
Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease
15 papers in training set
Top 0.2%
1.7%
13
One Health
29 papers in training set
Top 0.6%
1.7%
14
Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
16 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
1.6%
15
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
126 papers in training set
Top 2%
1.6%
16
BMC Infectious Diseases
118 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.6%
17
The Journal of Infectious Diseases
182 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.4%
18
Clinical Infectious Diseases
231 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.4%
19
Journal of Medical Virology
137 papers in training set
Top 3%
1.2%
20
BMC Public Health
147 papers in training set
Top 4%
1.2%
21
Pathogens
53 papers in training set
Top 0.9%
1.2%
22
Diagnostics
48 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.9%
23
BMC Health Services Research
42 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.8%
24
Tropical Medicine & International Health
15 papers in training set
Top 0.7%
0.8%
25
Viruses
318 papers in training set
Top 6%
0.7%
26
Clinical Microbiology and Infection
60 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.7%
27
The Lancet Global Health
24 papers in training set
Top 1%
0.7%
28
Vaccine
189 papers in training set
Top 2%
0.7%
29
Journal of Clinical Medicine
91 papers in training set
Top 7%
0.7%
30
Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal
16 papers in training set
Top 0.3%
0.7%