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Collective Posterior Inference from Highly Variable Empirical Replicates

Ben Nun, N.; Rosset, S.; Gresham, D.; Ram, Y.

2026-01-27 bioinformatics
10.64898/2026.01.26.701673 bioRxiv
Show abstract

High-throughput experimental platforms now routinely generate data from dozens or hundreds of independent observations. Simulation-based inference (SBI) offers a powerful framework for estimating model parameters from such complex datasets, but standard methods struggle to scale to the noisy multiple-replicates regime without incurring prohibitive computational costs or careful hyperparameter tuning. Here, we introduce a new method for fast and robust collective posterior inference from multiple independent replicates using a robust product-of-experts aggregation scheme that automatically mitigates the influence of outliers. Evaluating it on synthetic and empirical evolutionary datasets, we find it achieves state-of-the-art estimation accuracy and computational efficiency, including inference from noisy observations. Our method is compatible with any SBI framework, providing a scalable, plug-and-play solution for inference from noisy multiple-replicate datasets.

Published in PLOS Computational Biology (predicted rank #1) · training set

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