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Decoding Ethiopia's unique and structurally divergent Plasmodium falciparum populations using genomics

Osborne, A. A.; Assefa, A.; Degaga, T. S.; Hailu, A.; Woyessa, A.; Tadesse, D.; Rai, A.; Rumaseb, A.; Trimarsanto, H.; Kwiatkowski, D.; Lee, C. Y.; Pearson, R. D.; Price, R. N.; Thriemer, K.; Auburn, S.

2026-01-19 genomics
10.64898/2026.01.19.700308 bioRxiv
Show abstract

Previous genome-wide studies suggest that Ethiopian Plasmodium falciparum parasites are unique and structurally divergent from sub-Saharan African populations but were limited by small sample sizes. The emergence of molecular markers associated with reduced artemisinin susceptibility in northern Ethiopia, and the drug pressures created by sympatric P. falciparum and P. vivax, may have fostered a distinct and permissive genetic background for the emergence and spread of multidrug resistant parasites. To characterise parasite population structure and evolutionary dynamics in this setting, we generated whole-genome sequencing data for 163 P. falciparum isolates from southern Ethiopia (2017-2021) and integrated these with 854 isolates from across sub-Saharan Africa. Ethiopian parasites exhibited markedly reduced diversity, highly conserved genomes, and distinct admixture ancestry. Near-fixation of chloroquine and antifolate associated resistance markers, potentially driven by P. vivax co-circulation, suggests persistent drug-related selection pressures. We identified a previously undescribed deletion in the pfmdr1 5' UTR that is common in Ethiopia and potentially widespread across African populations. Although clinically relevant pfk13 variants have emerged in northern Ethiopia, these were not detected in southern Ethiopia. However, strong genetic connectivity between regions indicates the potential for rapid spread of resistance and is therefore important for public health policy and practice.

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